Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Archer Daniels Midland
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (71.43% * 8.31%) + (9.52% * 1.02%) - (19.05% * 29.97%) = 0.32%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Archer Daniels Midland Analysis
Market sector: Industrials.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 04 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.696 factory0.637 | 50 Day Low | $ 58.14 | |||||
| 04 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.984 factory0.882 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 44.54 | |||||
| 04 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.917 factory0.852 | 50 Day Low | $ 48.00 | |||||
| 18 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.801 factory0.846 | 50 Day Low | $ 50.48 | |||||
| 08 October 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.777 factory0.655 | 50 Day Low | $ 58.06 | |||||
| 05 August 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.63 factory0.867 | 50 Day Low | $ 58.09 | |||||
| 10 January 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.913 factory0.781 | 50 Day Low | $ 70.00 | |||||
| 24 October 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.842 factory0.874 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 70.14 | |||||
| 22 September 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.687 factory0.735 | 50 Day Low | $ 77.35 | |||||
| 02 May 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.428 factory0.703 | 50 Day Low | $ 74.28 | |||||
| 16 March 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.779 factory0.899 | 50 Day Low | $ 76.24 | |||||
| 08 February 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.836 factory0.886 | 50 Day Low | $ 81.80 | |||||
| 04 January 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.815 factory0.892 | 50 Day Low | $ 87.90 | |||||
| 13 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.953 factory0.946 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 82.44 | |||||
| 07 July 2021 MEDIUM smart_toy0.759 factory0.652 | 50 Day Low | $ 59.50 | |||||
| 24 February 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.795 factory0.715 | 50 Day Low | $ 42.35 | |||||
| 06 August 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.62 factory0.927 | 50 Day Low | $ 36.47 | |||||
| 29 May 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.464 factory0.93 | 50 Day Low | $ 37.17 | |||||
| 26 April 2019 MEDIUM smart_toy0.516 factory0.726 | 50 Day Low | $ 39.45 | |||||
| 07 December 2018 HIGH smart_toy0.72 factory0.943 | 50 Day Low | $ 42.62 | |||||
| 23 October 2018 HIGH smart_toy0.843 factory0.905 | 50 Day Low | $ 45.95 | |||||
| 31 October 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.673 factory0.74 | 50 Day Low | $ 37.30 | |||||
| 22 June 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.829 factory0.798 | 50 Day Low | $ 37.32 | |||||
| 02 May 2017 MEDIUM smart_toy0.752 factory0.722 | 50 Day Low | $ 38.11 | |||||
| 27 September 2016 LOW smart_toy0.579 factory0.684 | 50 Day Low | $ 37.07 | |||||
| 13 January 2016 LOW smart_toy0.993 factory0.943 | 50 Day Low | $ 29.37 | |||||
| 12 November 2015 LOW smart_toy0.939 factory0.805 | 50 Day Low | $ 33.85 | |||||
The data for Archer Daniels Midland Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: ADM) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 29 May 2026.