Zillow Group Inc (Z) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to Z's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -1.19%.   Win rate: 79.17%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.397.   Maximum drawdown: -77.38% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 155.39%. Time in market: 9618 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $731.10 on 13 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Zillow

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 48 signal(s) occurring before 15 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (79.17% * 9.74%) + (2.08% * 0.24%) - (18.75% * 47.54%) = -1.19%.
Wins: 38 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 9

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Zillow Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 June 2026   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 30.94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 June 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 33.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 35.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (CB) $ 36.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 38.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (MD) $ 40.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
27 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (MD) $ 40.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
12 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (52) $ 44.74 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 48.85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (GD) $ 54.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 55.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW    computerLOW   Super Oversold (26) $ 60.73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 April 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 61.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 April 2024   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (GD) $ 44.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 October 2023   cards_starHIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 38.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 29.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 29.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 31.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     Super Oversold (CB) $ 31.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starHIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 33.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starHIGH     Super Oversold (MD) $ 36.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 36.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Super Oversold (CB) $ 36.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 39.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 41.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 41.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 43.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 43.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 44.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 47.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (GD) $ 47.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 January 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 51.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (52) $ 54.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 64.18 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (GD) $ 68.07 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (CB) $ 69.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (GD) $ 69.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 69.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (52) $ 69.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 October 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 85.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
13 August 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 97.49 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 July 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 105.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 May 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 122.44 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 141.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (GD) $ 141.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 April 2020  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 30.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2020  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 25.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2020  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 45.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2019   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 29.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 August 2019   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 33.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 January 2019  bubble_chart   cards_starHIGH     Super Oversold (MD) $ 31.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     Super Oversold (MD) $ 28.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 November 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 28.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 November 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     Super Oversold (MD) $ 28.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 November 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 29.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     Super Oversold (CB) $ 31.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY HIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 31.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 40.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 September 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 42.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 September 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 42.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 September 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starVERY LOW     Super Oversold (MD) $ 44.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Zillow Group Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: Z) was last updated 23 Jun 2026 10:14. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 22 Jun 2026.