Zillow Group Inc (Z) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to Z's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 3.19%.   Win rate: 84.21%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.788.   Maximum drawdown: -85.64% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 150.54%. Time in market: 6611 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $726.21 on 16 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Zillow

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 38 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.21% * 9.35%) + (5.26% * 0.68%) - (10.53% * 44.85%) = 3.19%.
Wins: 32 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Zillow Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 February 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.925 Gap Down $ 43.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.725 Gap Down $ 66.49 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.536 Gap Down $ 68.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.648 Gap Down $ 73.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2025  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.734 Gap Down $ 82.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 June 2025  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.792 Gap Down $ 68.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.949 Gap Down $ 68.46 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.919 Gap Down $ 77.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
18 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.793 Gap Down $ 78.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
01 August 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.601 Gap Down $ 47.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.699 Gap Down $ 47.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.927 Gap Down $ 40.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 February 2024   LOW     smart_toy0.831 Gap Down $ 55.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.559 Gap Down $ 42.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2023   LOW     smart_toy0.604 Gap Down $ 40.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 January 2023   LOW     smart_toy0.675 Gap Down $ 42.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.869 Gap Down $ 30.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 August 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.888 Gap Down $ 36.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 July 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.994 Gap Down $ 34.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.975 Gap Down $ 41.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.95 Gap Down $ 53.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.983 Gap Down $ 60.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.988 Gap Down $ 54.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.883 Gap Down $ 86.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
08 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.835 Gap Down $ 96.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.83 Gap Down $ 105.72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.686 Gap Down $ 131.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
17 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.584 Gap Down $ 192.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 December 2020  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.676 Gap Down $ 136.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 October 2020  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.834 Gap Down $ 107.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.819 Gap Down $ 86.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2020  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.643 Gap Down $ 60.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.987 Gap Down $ 38.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.544 Gap Down $ 60.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.704 Gap Down $ 47.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2019   LOW     smart_toy0.661 Gap Down $ 36.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.956 Gap Down $ 29.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.899 Gap Down $ 29.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.729 Gap Down $ 46.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.606 Gap Down $ 63.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 May 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.671 Gap Down $ 53.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.687 Gap Down $ 44.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.568 Gap Down $ 49.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.602 Gap Down $ 42.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2017   LOW     smart_toy0.793 Gap Down $ 34.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.994 Gap Down $ 37.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.958 Gap Down $ 37.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.959 Gap Down $ 33.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 May 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.641 Gap Down $ 27.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.524 Gap Down $ 22.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Zillow Group Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: Z) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 07 May 2026.