Zillow Group Inc (Z) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to Z's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 1.29%.   Win rate: 80.77%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.205.   Maximum drawdown: -76.71% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 108.28%. Time in market: 4512 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $588.32 on 20 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Zillow

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.77% * 8.97%) + (7.69% * 0.14%) - (11.54% * 51.73%) = 1.29%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Zillow Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.915  factory0.684   50 Day Low $ 38.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.944  factory0.686   50 Day Low $ 42.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.825  factory0.485   50 Day Low $ 60.73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 January 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.889  factory0.426   50 Day Low $ 67.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.663  factory0.607   50 Day Low $ 69.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
01 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.54  factory0.502   50 Day Low $ 75.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.94  factory0.785   50 Day Low $ 61.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.941  factory0.737   50 Day Low $ 69.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.621  factory0.328   50 Day Low $ 39.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.645  factory0.468   50 Day Low $ 43.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.772  factory0.501   50 Day Low $ 51.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93  factory0.786   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 39.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.628  factory0.721   50 Day Low $ 47.24 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976  factory0.742   50 Day Low $ 32.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994  factory0.824   50 Day Low $ 33.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.934  factory0.605   50 Day Low $ 44.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.998  factory0.733   50 Day Low $ 46.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.982  factory0.689   50 Day Low $ 52.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.917  factory0.753   50 Day Low $ 69.64 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.855  factory0.785   50 Day Low $ 90.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
17 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.849  factory0.661   50 Day Low $ 92.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.83  factory0.603   50 Day Low $ 105.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.753  factory0.501   50 Day Low $ 118.93 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.49  factory0.634   50 Day Low $ 130.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.98  factory0.794   50 Day Low $ 42.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.582  factory0.579   50 Day Low $ 30.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.731  factory0.706   50 Day Low $ 42.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.451  factory0.47   50 Day Low $ 34.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.774  factory0.846   50 Day Low $ 31.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 September 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.37  factory0.691   50 Day Low $ 44.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741  factory0.804   50 Day Low $ 49.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.709  factory0.492   50 Day Low $ 42.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.671  factory0.446   50 Day Low $ 33.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.663  factory0.745   50 Day Low $ 32.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.632  factory0.52   50 Day Low $ 33.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Zillow Group Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: Z) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.