Woodward Inc (WWD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to WWD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.37%.   Win rate: 86.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.9.   Maximum drawdown: -33.76% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 89.76%. Time in market: 2195 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2223.08 on 12 May 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Woodward

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.67% * 8.72%) + (6.67% * 8.58%) - (6.67% * 11.33%) = 7.37%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Woodward Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
29 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (42)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (58)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (59)    factoryLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (49)    factoryLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (46)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (52)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (58)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (39)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
08 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (49)    factoryLOW   schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (51)    factoryLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (42)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 397.44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 383.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 390.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (67)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 268.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)    factoryHIGH   Gap Down $ 167.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (43)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 183.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2024   smart_toyLOW (65)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 162.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 July 2024   smart_toyLOW (49)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 182.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (55)     Gap Down $ 104.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Gap Down $ 96.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Gap Down $ 94.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Down $ 90.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Gap Down $ 121.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Down $ 109.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (20)     Gap Down $ 121.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Gap Down $ 112.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (72)     Gap Down $ 80.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 March 2020   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 60.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Down $ 104.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2019   smart_toyLOW (65)     Gap Down $ 94.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2018   smart_toyLOW (55)     Gap Down $ 80.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Down $ 54.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Woodward Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: WWD) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 04:37. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 29 Jul 2026.