Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (WGMI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to WGMI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.69%.   Win rate: 94.74%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.138.   Maximum drawdown: -80.82% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 226.09%. Time in market: 1496 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2146.17 on 21 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Bitcoin Miners

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 04 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.74% * 12.10%) + (0% * 0%) - (5.26% * 33.72%) = 9.69%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 August 2026 Mega Dump $ 47.20 90 65 95 91 27 89 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 57.16 97 73 95 90 33 96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 40.36 84 75 94 86 36 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 42.95 96 62 94 87 42 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 December 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 38.90 94 78 94 85 46 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 November 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 45.54 88 79 94 86 41 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 58.40 87 80 93 81 42 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 14.24 90 81 93 76 28 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 12.34 92 70 93 71 26 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 17.84 77 72 93 69 25 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 21.23 88 83 92 68 20 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 24.78 84 91 90 58 9 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 16.61 95 84 85 91 33 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 17.88 96 78 83 87 23 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 15.47 83 63 50 96 7 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 April 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 13.74 83 83 100 95 79 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 15.78 92 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 February 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 16.73 72 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 17.48 66 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 9.04 94 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump $ 11.46 92 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 March 2023 Mega Dump $ 9.01 47 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 February 2023 Mega Dump $ 8.75 66 61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2023 Mega Dump $ 4.90 73 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 December 2022 Mega Dump $ 5.70 70 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2022 Mega Dump $ 7.63 75 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2022 Mega Dump $ 8.69 85 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2022 Mega Dump $ 11.60 83 84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2022 Mega Dump $ 11.05 88 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2022 Mega Dump $ 9.82 84 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2022 Mega Dump $ 13.27 75 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 April 2022 Mega Dump $ 21.74 79 82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2022 Mega Dump $ 24.34 88 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (exchange: XNAS symbol: WGMI) was last updated 12 Aug 2026 03:32. Data for this ETF is available from 09 Feb 2022 - 11 Aug 2026.