Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (WGMI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to WGMI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 10.66%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.219.   Maximum drawdown: -77.59% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 114.91%. Time in market: 997 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1231.13 on 29 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Bitcoin Miners

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 11.76%) + (14.29% * 4.06%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.66%.
Wins: 6 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.807  factory0.687   50 Day Low $ 35.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.79  factory0.625   50 Day Low $ 36.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.964  factory0.815   50 Day Low $ 37.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978  factory0.844   50 Day Low $ 12.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759  factory0.8   50 Day Low $ 16.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 January 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.918  factory0.722   50 Day Low $ 21.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.712  factory0.787   50 Day Low $ 15.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791  factory0.829   50 Day Low $ 16.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716  factory0.744   50 Day Low $ 8.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.588  factory0.719   50 Day Low $ 10.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.705  factory0.662   50 Day Low $ 5.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.483  factory0.736   50 Day Low $ 6.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.854  factory0.764   50 Day Low $ 9.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 June 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.899  factory0.724   50 Day Low $ 11.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.599  factory0.469   50 Day Low $ 18.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners (exchange: XNAS symbol: WGMI) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 09 Feb 2022 - 29 May 2026.