UFP Industries Inc (UFPI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to UFPI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.25%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.514.   Maximum drawdown: -31.46% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 112.05%. Time in market: 1836 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4282.37 on 21 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for UFP Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.25%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.25%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

UFP Industries Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.667  factory0.338   50 Day Low $ 87.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.684  factory0.305   50 Day Low $ 91.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.852  factory0.628   50 Day Low $ 89.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.778  factory0.443   50 Day Low $ 96.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 June 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.768  factory0.416   50 Day Low $ 95.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.966  factory0.562   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 98.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule
04 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965  factory0.791   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 103.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
24 February 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.722  factory0.505   50 Day Low $ 107.64 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
18 December 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.89  factory0.67   50 Day Low $ 118.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.709  factory0.583   50 Day Low $ 109.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 February 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.766  factory0.695   50 Day Low $ 111.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 October 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.911  factory0.764   50 Day Low $ 97.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.595  factory0.72   50 Day Low $ 77.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.399  factory0.826   50 Day Low $ 67.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958  factory0.845   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 70.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.794  factory0.858   50 Day Low $ 71.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.885  factory0.407   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 74.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.94  factory0.477   50 Day Low $ 80.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.632  factory0.609   50 Day Low $ 68.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.762  factory0.494   50 Day Low $ 70.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.926  factory0.388   50 Day Low $ 73.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.742  factory0.528   50 Day Low $ 52.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.882  factory0.793   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 46.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.88  factory0.654   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 26.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.946  factory0.761   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 27.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.728  factory0.533   50 Day Low $ 34.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 March 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.472  factory0.613   50 Day Low $ 31.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.777  factory0.548   50 Day Low $ 35.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.657  factory0.376   50 Day Low $ 26.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.556  factory0.41   50 Day Low $ 29.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.713  factory0.364   50 Day Low $ 30.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.715  factory0.409   50 Day Low $ 30.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.833  factory0.738   50 Day Low $ 31.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for UFP Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: UFPI) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 29 May 2026.