Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TXRH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.16%.   Win rate: 95.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.033.   Maximum drawdown: -41.91% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 148.2%. Time in market: 1696 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2950.39 on 07 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Texas Roadhouse

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.00% * 9.60%) + (5.00% * 0.95%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.16%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Texas Roadhouse Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (33)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 159.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 169.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
08 September 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (42)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 168.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
05 August 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 182.77 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)    shopping_cartLOW   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 168.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 February 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 171.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 178.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 September 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 160.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 July 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 165.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     50 Day Low $ 100.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (28)     50 Day Low $ 106.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     50 Day Low $ 93.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 71.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 77.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 80.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     50 Day Low $ 85.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     50 Day Low $ 87.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 88.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     50 Day Low $ 95.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 March 2020   smart_toyLOW (78)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 53.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 October 2019   smart_toyLOW (55)     50 Day Low $ 48.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (78)     50 Day Low $ 50.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2019   smart_toyLOW (38)     50 Day Low $ 53.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 58.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (68)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 59.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 September 2017   smart_toyLOW (50)     50 Day Low $ 43.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 45.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2017   smart_toyLOW (50)     50 Day Low $ 39.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (45)     50 Day Low $ 38.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Texas Roadhouse Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TXRH) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.