iShares MSCI Turkey (TUR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to TUR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.87%.   Win rate: 90.91%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.09.   Maximum drawdown: -26.00% on 17 December 2021.
Mean CAGR: 132.67%. Time in market: 899 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1817.99 on 06 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Turkey

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (90.91% * 8.60%) + (9.09% * 0.57%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.87%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.813 50 Day Low $ 37.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 October 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.599 50 Day Low $ 31.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 June 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.857 50 Day Low $ 29.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.951 50 Day Low $ 30.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.909 50 Day Low $ 33.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.903 50 Day Low $ 34.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.641 50 Day Low $ 32.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.399 50 Day Low $ 36.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.619 50 Day Low $ 38.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.493 50 Day Low $ 33.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.883 50 Day Low $ 34.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.584 50 Day Low $ 31.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.558 50 Day Low $ 30.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 July 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.915 50 Day Low $ 18.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.875 50 Day Low $ 19.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 November 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.732 50 Day Low $ 19.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.309 50 Day Low $ 21.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 June 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.568 50 Day Low $ 22.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.661 50 Day Low $ 22.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 March 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.404 50 Day Low $ 23.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for iShares MSCI Turkey (exchange: XNAS symbol: TUR) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:52. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 Apr 2026.