Tesla Inc (TSLA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Tesla
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 24 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 11.07%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 11.07%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Tesla Analysis
Market sector: Technology.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
| Most Recent Buy Signals | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Signal Type | Score | Performance | ||
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | |||
| 31 July 2026 | Mega Dump | smart_toyHIGH (90%) faceLOW (19%) computerLOW | |||
| 31 July 2026 | Rate of Change | smart_toyMEDIUM (89%) faceLOW (30%) computerLOW | |||
| 29 July 2026 | 52 Week Low | smart_toyLOW (75%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW | |||
| 29 July 2026 | Super Oversold (26) | smart_toyLOW (71%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW | |||
| 29 July 2026 | Simple Mean Reversion | smart_toyHIGH (95%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW | |||
| 23 July 2026 | Williams %R (Weekly) | smart_toyLOW (68%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW | |||
| 23 July 2026 | 26 Week Low | smart_toyLOW (60%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW | |||
| 22 July 2026 | 50 Day Low | smart_toyLOW (52%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW | |||
| 07 July 2026 | Mega Dump Lite | smart_toyLOW (73%) faceLOW (5%) computerLOW | |||
| 07 July 2026 | Gap Down | smart_toyLOW (71%) faceLOW (0%) computerLOW | |||
Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date, Score and Sector Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 31 July 2026 smart_toyHIGH (90%) faceLOW (19%) computerLOW | Mega Dump | $ 310.45 | |||||
| 15 April 2025 smart_toyHIGH (92%) faceHIGH (100%) computerHIGH sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump | $ 252.01 | |||||
| 13 March 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (82%) faceLOW (45%) computerHIGH sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump | $ 244.40 | |||||
| 10 September 2024 smart_toyHIGH (90%) faceLOW (15%) | Mega Dump | $ 223.12 | |||||
| 08 August 2024 smart_toyHIGH (91%) faceLOW (35%) | Mega Dump | $ 197.27 | |||||
| 04 March 2024 smart_toyLOW (77%) faceLOW (10%) | Mega Dump | $ 193.44 | |||||
| 30 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (77%) faceLOW (20%) | Mega Dump | $ 193.46 | |||||
| 02 November 2023 smart_toyLOW (70%) faceLOW (21%) | Mega Dump | $ 215.74 | |||||
| 31 January 2023 smart_toyHIGH (92%) faceMEDIUM (50%) | Mega Dump | $ 168.90 | |||||
| 30 December 2022 smart_toyLOW (79%) faceHIGH (75%) | Mega Dump | $ 121.56 | |||||
| 22 November 2022 smart_toyLOW (70%) faceHIGH (89%) sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump | $ 169.27 | |||||
| 18 October 2022 smart_toyHIGH (97%) faceHIGH (100%) sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump | $ 224.84 | |||||
| 21 June 2022 smart_toyHIGH (97%) faceLOW (32%) sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump | $ 230.82 | |||||
| 17 May 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (85%) faceLOW (49%) sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump | $ 251.50 | |||||
| 01 February 2022 smart_toyLOW (65%) faceLOW (0%) | Mega Dump | $ 311.08 | |||||
| 22 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (57%) faceLOW (0%) | Mega Dump | $ 329.09 | |||||
| 20 May 2021 smart_toyMEDIUM (82%) faceLOW (0%) | Mega Dump | $ 193.63 | |||||
| 30 March 2021 smart_toyMEDIUM (82%) faceLOW (0%) | Mega Dump | $ 206.23 | |||||
| 26 February 2021 smart_toyLOW (64%) faceLOW (0%) | Mega Dump | $ 229.25 | |||||
| 11 September 2020 smart_toyHIGH (90%) faceLOW (15%) | Mega Dump | $ 125.78 | |||||
| 06 April 2020 smart_toyHIGH (97%) faceHIGH (100%) sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump | $ 34.25 | |||||
| 03 March 2020 smart_toyLOW (72%) faceMEDIUM (65%) | Mega Dump | $ 51.68 | |||||
| 05 June 2019 smart_toyMEDIUM (80%) faceLOW (45%) | Mega Dump | $ 13.18 | |||||
| 03 April 2018 smart_toyMEDIUM (86%) faceLOW (0%) | Mega Dump | $ 17.91 | |||||
| 12 February 2016 smart_toyHIGH (95%) faceLOW (0%) | Mega Dump | $ 10.20 | |||||
The data for Tesla Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TSLA) was last updated 03 Aug 2026 04:14. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 31 Jul 2026.