Tesla Inc (TSLA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TSLA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 10.87%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 2.523.   Maximum drawdown: -27.48% on 03 June 2019.
Mean CAGR: 263.11%. Time in market: 229 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1883.67 on 24 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tesla

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.87%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.87%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tesla Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
29 July 2026 52 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (75)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 July 2026 Super Oversold (26)   smart_toyLOW (71)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 July 2026 Simple Mean Reversion   smart_toyHIGH (95)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2026 Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (68)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2026 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (60)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (52)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (73)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (71)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026 Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (79)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 June 2026 Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (60)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule

52 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 July 2026   smart_toyLOW (75)    computerLOW   52 Week Low $ 302.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 April 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     52 Week Low $ 150.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 December 2022   smart_toyLOW (61)     52 Week Low $ 113.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (62)     52 Week Low $ 169.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (96)     sirenFIRE SALE 52 Week Low $ 207.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (58)     52 Week Low $ 12.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2019   smart_toyLOW (59)     52 Week Low $ 16.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     52 Week Low $ 17.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Tesla Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TSLA) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 04:37. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Jul 2026.