Tesla Inc (TSLA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to TSLA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 10.30%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.779. Maximum drawdown: -56.52% on 06 January 2023.
Mean CAGR: 146.88%. Time in market: 2358 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3874.25 on 03 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tesla

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.30%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.30%.
Wins: 26 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tesla Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
06 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (54) computerLOW	50 Day Low	$ 357.70	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (75) computerLOW	50 Day Low	$ 396.96	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
18 March 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (74)	50 Day Low	$ 226.73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (51)	50 Day Low	$ 337.15	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
16 April 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (56)	50 Day Low	$ 156.93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 March 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (66)	50 Day Low	$ 178.26	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 January 2024 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (43)	50 Day Low	$ 211.09	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (72)	50 Day Low	$ 214.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (66)	50 Day Low	$ 214.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2023 smart_toyLOW (59)	50 Day Low	$ 164.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 December 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (82)	50 Day Low	$ 167.91	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (80) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 202.86	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2022 smart_toyHIGH (92) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 248.45	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
11 May 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (83)	50 Day Low	$ 254.83	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (70)	50 Day Low	$ 293.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (33)	50 Day Low	$ 192.06	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (67)	50 Day Low	$ 212.87	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2020 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (93)	50 Day Low	$ 29.01	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2019 smart_toyLOW (79) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 12.56	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2019 smart_toyLOW (44)	50 Day Low	$ 16.75	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2019 smart_toyLOW (67)	50 Day Low	$ 18.62	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2019 smart_toyLOW (60) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 20.12	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (60)	50 Day Low	$ 17.17	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 September 2018 smart_toyLOW (33)	50 Day Low	$ 19.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2018 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (63)	50 Day Low	$ 20.85	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
24 October 2017 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (53)	50 Day Low	$ 22.54	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
02 December 2016 smart_toyMEDIUM (83)	50 Day Low	$ 12.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2016 smart_toyLOW (77)	50 Day Low	$ 13.03	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2016 smart_toyLOW (33)	50 Day Low	$ 13.23	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2016 smart_toyMEDIUM (81)	50 Day Low	$ 13.20	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Tesla Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TSLA) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.