Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results 🚜

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to TSCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.97%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 8.095.   Maximum drawdown: -17.52% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 161.4%. Time in market: 313 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1413.16 on 14 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Tractor Supply Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.97%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.97%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Tractor Supply Company Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 58 87 100 80 69 74 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion 74 69 100 80 73 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 56 76 100 80 73 69 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 73 61 100 80 73 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 63 50 100 80 73 65 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 50 50 100 80 73 57 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion 77 53 100 80 73 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low 74 85 100 80 73 84 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart 26 Week Low 78 85 100 80 73 86 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 55 85 100 80 73 72 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 June 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 29.48 74 85 100 80 73 84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 April 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 41.08 48 66 100 77 73 61 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 47.78 43 86 100 77 77 62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 47.95 56 54 100 68 76 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 48.55 93 88 100 66 79 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2023  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 37.41 57 87 100 56 85 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 34.40 98 96 83 51 54 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 16.68 90 82 76 53 49 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 June 2017 52 Week Low $ 10.18 86 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2017 52 Week Low $ 11.51 51 36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Tractor Supply Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: TSCO) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 02 May 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.