T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to TROW's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.45%. Win rate: 80.95%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.681. Maximum drawdown: -53.51% on 30 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 80.05%. Time in market: 4554 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $876.32 on 12 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for T. Rowe Price Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 22 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.95% * 8.22%) + (0% * 0%) - (19.05% * 22.05%) = 2.45%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

T. Rowe Price Group Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Score	Performance
			5%	6%	7.5%
13 July 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (56) account_balanceLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 June 2026	Oversold Rebound	smart_toyLOW (56) account_balanceLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 June 2026	Double Seven	smart_toyLOW (57) account_balanceLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
14 May 2026	Double Seven	smart_toyLOW (53) account_balanceLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
13 May 2026	Double Seven	smart_toyLOW (48) account_balanceLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 April 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (37) account_balanceLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 March 2026	Super Oversold (26)	smart_toyLOW (73) account_balanceLOW sirenFIRE SALE	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 March 2026	Super Oversold (RoC)	smart_toyLOW (71) account_balanceLOW sirenFIRE SALE	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (52) account_balanceLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2026	Williams %R (Weekly)	smart_toyLOW (58) account_balanceLOW	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
13 July 2026 smart_toyLOW (56) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 116.10	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 November 2025 smart_toyLOW (60) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 99.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (60) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 104.11	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule
05 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (38) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 111.68	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
18 December 2024 smart_toyLOW (62) account_balanceLOW	Gap Down	$ 115.30	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
03 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (47)	Gap Down	$ 101.76	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
01 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (57)	Gap Down	$ 108.31	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
21 February 2023 smart_toyLOW (63)	Gap Down	$ 114.92	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
14 November 2022 smart_toyLOW (62)	Gap Down	$ 128.26	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
07 October 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (81)	Gap Down	$ 107.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 August 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (81)	Gap Down	$ 128.06	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
11 May 2022 smart_toyLOW (79) sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 118.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
06 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (45)	Gap Down	$ 150.43	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
05 January 2022 smart_toyLOW (49)	Gap Down	$ 192.06	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
03 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (55)	Gap Down	$ 137.23	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2020 smart_toyLOW (65)	Gap Down	$ 109.02	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) sirenFIRE SALE	Gap Down	$ 92.42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2019 smart_toyLOW (67)	Gap Down	$ 104.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019 smart_toyLOW (54)	Gap Down	$ 99.50	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (34)	Gap Down	$ 100.24	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
07 September 2018 smart_toyLOW (34)	Gap Down	$ 104.24	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
22 March 2018 smart_toyLOW (35)	Gap Down	$ 103.52	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
30 January 2018 smart_toyLOW (29)	Gap Down	$ 107.01	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
25 April 2017 smart_toyLOW (61)	Gap Down	$ 64.81	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2016 smart_toyLOW (63)	Gap Down	$ 64.22	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
24 June 2016 smart_toyMEDIUM (85)	Gap Down	$ 62.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for T. Rowe Price Group Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TROW) was last updated 30 Jul 2026 04:37. Data for this stock is available from 19 Feb 2016 - 29 Jul 2026.