Smith & Wesson Brands Inc (SWBI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to SWBI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -1.60%.   Win rate: 78.12%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.674.   Maximum drawdown: -65.75% on 20 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 120.58%. Time in market: 6393 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $558.82 on 08 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Smith & Wesson Brands

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 32 signal(s) occurring before 25 December 2023 for a 7.5% profit target: (78.12% * 9.67%) + (0% * 0%) - (21.88% * 41.85%) = -1.60%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 7

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Smith & Wesson Brands Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 December 2025   cards_starLOW    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 9.95 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 December 2025   cards_starMEDIUM    shopping_cartLOW   Double Seven $ 10.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 8.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 8.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 9.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 9.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
12 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.08 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 May 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 16.23 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 17.41 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 17.55 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 February 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 13.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 December 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 14.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 November 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 14.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 11.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 11.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 12.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 12.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 12.99 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 11.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 12.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 11.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 12.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 17.67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 22.50 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 22.74 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
01 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
31 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 24.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 24.47 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 23.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 23.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 30.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     Double Seven $ 30.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 19.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 17.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 18.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 18.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 18.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Smith & Wesson Brands Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: SWBI) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 19 Feb 2021 - 31 Dec 2025.