Smith & Wesson Brands Inc (SWBI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to SWBI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.47%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.51.   Maximum drawdown: -43.47% on 20 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 162.33%. Time in market: 1167 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1358.47 on 27 September 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Smith & Wesson Brands

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 6 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 10.30%) + (33.33% * 4.80%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.47%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Smith & Wesson Brands Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 July 2025   10     52 Week Low $ 7.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2025   10     52 Week Low $ 8.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2025   20     52 Week Low $ 9.62 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 December 2024   15     52 Week Low $ 11.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 December 2022   0     52 Week Low $ 10.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2022   0     52 Week Low $ 12.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2022   0     52 Week Low $ 13.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 May 2022   0     52 Week Low $ 13.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 April 2022   0     52 Week Low $ 14.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022       52 Week Low $ 16.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for Smith & Wesson Brands Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: SWBI) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:35. Data for this stock is available from 19 Feb 2021 - 26 Mar 2026.