Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SHOO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.44%.   Win rate: 87.04%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.101.   Maximum drawdown: -50.69% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 134.92%. Time in market: 7209 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5932.22 on 31 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Steven Madden

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 54 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.04% * 9.03%) + (9.26% * 1.14%) - (3.70% * 14.26%) = 7.44%.
Wins: 47 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Steven Madden Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 54 59 94 88 58 65 schedule schedule schedule
23 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 50 59 94 87 58 62 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 63 54 94 87 63 68 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 45 57 94 87 63 57 schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 51 45 94 87 63 57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
08 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 42 76 94 87 63 60 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 49 83 94 87 63 67 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 53 80 94 87 63 69 schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 47 81 94 87 63 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 40 77 94 85 62 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 47.29 54 59 94 88 58 65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.74 45 57 94 87 63 57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 April 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.18 42 72 94 84 62 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 32.10 68 74 94 84 65 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 36.74 68 54 94 85 70 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.34 83 65 94 87 74 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.10 55 75 94 73 60 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 July 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 26.76 63 61 95 73 61 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.52 59 71 95 75 63 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.64 74 49 95 74 64 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.54 93 88 95 71 65 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.66 83 69 95 74 68 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 February 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 37.50 63 73 95 74 68 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.02 62 81 95 82 69 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 46.24 58 79 95 76 70 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.06 58 75 96 72 71 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 August 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.81 81 71 96 72 74 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 May 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.87 65 52 95 80 77 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 April 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 39.04 52 81 95 76 77 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 January 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.18 64 62 97 72 83 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 33.37 42 86 100 80 87 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 September 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.60 40 84 100 80 87 59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.73 35 54 100 81 88 48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 33.26 43 73 100 83 89 59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.54 77 77 100 84 89 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 35.84 63 68 100 82 62 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 34.52 73 75 100 82 62 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 32.06 90 92 100 81 64 96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 29.81 82 80 100 81 64 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 26.84 94 89 100 79 62 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 31.74 79 77 100 77 60 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 35.03 83 76 100 78 62 87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 33.50 86 95 100 80 61 95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.52 83 87 100 87 66 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.98 48 79 100 88 69 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.06 63 87 100 94 72 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 41.72 62 74 100 94 84 74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 44.74 55 84 100 88 84 71 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.74 53 82 100 91 84 70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 September 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 39.13 67 71 100 93 86 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 August 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.00 67 83 100 92 87 79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 July 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 42.24 57 55 100 94 87 65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 38.51 47 59 100 93 89 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 35.15 54 58 100 88 87 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 February 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 33.63 54 47 100 88 89 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.77 73 92 100 90 95 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.78 71 90 100 90 94 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 August 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.17 74 79 100 92 94 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.98 62 82 100 93 94 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.56 72 81 100 93 94 82 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.94 67 81 100 92 95 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.04 80 88 100 93 95 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.10 87 93 100 94 93 95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.85 60 66 100 93 92 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 35.52 65 78 100 93 92 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.33 80 83 100 93 91 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.82 70 75 100 94 92 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 May 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.03 59 54 100 95 92 66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 31.22 77 82 100 97 97 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 28.13 95 90 100 97 98 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 30.62 66 88 100 97 96 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.50 50 77 100 97 99 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 29.61 37 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.70 39 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 December 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 27.80 58 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.96 58 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.26 67 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.35 69 87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.37 78 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.06 74 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 May 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.92 80 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Steven Madden Ltd (exchange: XNAS symbol: SHOO) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.