Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (SFM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SFM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.38%.   Win rate: 89.29%.   Sharpe Ratio: -9.608.   Maximum drawdown: -42.15% on 13 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 134.96%. Time in market: 6821 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $9778.38 on 16 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sprouts Farmers Market

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 56 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.29% * 9.19%) + (10.71% * 1.61%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.38%.
Wins: 50 Breakevens: 6 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Sprouts Farmers Market Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
10 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 50 68 100 88 77 64 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 Gap Up 59 59 100 87 77 66 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 50 Day Low 38 72 100 86 79 56 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 54 76 100 86 79 68 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Gap Down 50 76 100 86 79 66 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 64 61 100 82 76 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 56 50 100 82 76 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 62 63 100 82 76 69 schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 40 73 100 82 76 57 schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 46 80 100 82 76 63 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 85.22 50 68 100 88 77 64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 85.78 54 76 100 86 79 68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 81.89 40 73 100 82 76 57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 80.57 41 78 100 81 76 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
31 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 77.14 52 69 100 80 72 65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
27 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 74.60 54 69 100 81 76 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 71.98 81 54 100 81 78 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 December 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 80.18 83 71 100 80 77 85 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 November 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 78.58 70 70 100 82 79 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box schedule
09 October 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 104.42 63 76 100 67 75 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
22 August 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 146.98 52 58 100 67 70 60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 July 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 165.60 69 63 100 67 70 73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 160.73 80 84 100 69 71 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 165.92 70 52 100 67 73 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 152.28 97 93 100 62 74 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 133.82 75 66 100 60 74 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 163.18 77 81 100 61 73 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
02 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 130.24 71 84 100 71 74 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 78.36 49 78 100 61 78 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 40.88 48 90 100 53 83 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 July 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 37.85 41 78 100 59 86 57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 33.28 37 76 100 61 85 53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 34.38 57 68 100 58 53 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 January 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 31.42 82 81 100 57 52 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 27.98 91 93 100 57 54 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 29.07 79 85 100 58 55 85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 25.76 85 91 100 60 55 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 24.12 89 95 100 62 61 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 32.40 35 79 100 63 62 53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 February 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 27.70 51 78 100 47 56 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 22.40 63 92 100 61 58 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 22.84 56 80 100 65 60 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 24.01 50 79 100 43 62 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 25.38 53 64 100 46 68 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 24.64 43 73 100 52 70 57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 22.21 69 58 100 55 75 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 January 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 19.39 73 53 100 61 82 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 December 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 20.04 67 79 100 56 78 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 19.74 55 87 100 60 77 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 21.15 58 78 100 60 72 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 24.29 40 78 100 59 68 57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 July 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 27.00 55 84 100 62 68 69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 23.37 77 85 100 59 66 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.28 91 97 100 62 77 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 15.92 57 71 100 65 60 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.88 53 33 100 65 60 52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 October 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.43 69 84 100 63 64 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 17.88 81 84 100 69 50 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.84 61 69 100 69 47 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 June 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.26 74 63 100 69 51 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.32 61 49 100 53 56 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.30 82 93 100 42 58 86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.60 69 83 100 52 64 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 July 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.36 32 78 100 64 42 51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.88 33 61 100 96 49 50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 May 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.02 47 78 100 94 93 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.95 48 63 100 94 93 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.26 33 82 100 92 88 54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
03 October 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 18.47 49 39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.94 69 53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.42 52 41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 June 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.42 67 50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.68 72 49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.12 45 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 January 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.72 55 47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 20.84 58 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.17 84 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.74 73 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 19.48 61 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 July 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.37 67 76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 23.13 67 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 May 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.59 76 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.81 86 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.91 93 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: SFM) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 02 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.