Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (SFM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to SFM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.38%.   Win rate: 89.09%.   Sharpe Ratio: -9.469.   Maximum drawdown: -42.15% on 13 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 134.31%. Time in market: 6792 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $9033.98 on 04 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sprouts Farmers Market

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 55 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (89.09% * 9.21%) + (10.91% * 1.61%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.38%.
Wins: 49 Breakevens: 6 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Sprouts Farmers Market Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 May 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.856   Mega Dump Lite $ 80.57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.14 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 February 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
26 January 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.969   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982   Mega Dump Lite $ 80.18 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.797   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
09 October 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.923   Mega Dump Lite $ 104.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
22 August 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.827   Mega Dump Lite $ 146.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 July 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.506   Mega Dump Lite $ 165.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.845   Mega Dump Lite $ 160.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816   Mega Dump Lite $ 165.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.92   Mega Dump Lite $ 152.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.749   Mega Dump Lite $ 163.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
02 January 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.909   Mega Dump Lite $ 130.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.905   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 40.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 July 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.688   Mega Dump Lite $ 37.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.588   Mega Dump Lite $ 34.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.759   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976   Mega Dump Lite $ 27.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.983   Mega Dump Lite $ 25.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.996   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.906   Mega Dump Lite $ 27.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.822   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.585   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.742   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.702   Mega Dump Lite $ 25.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.725   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.571   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.918   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 December 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.789   Mega Dump Lite $ 20.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.519   Mega Dump Lite $ 21.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.774   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 July 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.506   Mega Dump Lite $ 27.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.762   Mega Dump Lite $ 23.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.863   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 17.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.542   Mega Dump Lite $ 15.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.834   Mega Dump Lite $ 17.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.798   Mega Dump Lite $ 18.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.657   Mega Dump Lite $ 17.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.598   Mega Dump Lite $ 18.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 June 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.875   Mega Dump Lite $ 20.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.575   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 January 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 24.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.62   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 July 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.653   Mega Dump Lite $ 21.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 20.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.783   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.661   Mega Dump Lite $ 23.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.643   Mega Dump Lite $ 25.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
03 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.507   Mega Dump Lite $ 18.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.757   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.508   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 June 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.902   Mega Dump Lite $ 21.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.735   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.428   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 January 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.885   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.912   Mega Dump Lite $ 20.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.774   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.788   Mega Dump Lite $ 21.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.868   Mega Dump Lite $ 19.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 July 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.598   Mega Dump Lite $ 23.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.883   Mega Dump Lite $ 23.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.905   Mega Dump Lite $ 25.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.906   Mega Dump Lite $ 24.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.951   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: SFM) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 02 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.