Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (SFM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to SFM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 11.44%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.198.   Maximum drawdown: -31.64% on 13 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 133.76%. Time in market: 859 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1691.96 on 17 March 2020.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sprouts Farmers Market

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 11.44%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 11.44%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Sprouts Farmers Market Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
10 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 50 68 100 88 77 64 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 Gap Up 59 59 100 87 77 66 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 50 Day Low 38 72 100 86 79 56 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 54 76 100 86 79 68 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026 Gap Down 50 76 100 86 79 66 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 64 61 100 82 76 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 56 50 100 82 76 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 62 63 100 82 76 69 schedule schedule schedule
05 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 40 73 100 82 76 57 schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 46 80 100 82 76 63 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 February 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 65.66 81 53 100 81 78 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 76.10 90 55 100 81 79 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
07 November 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 77.36 91 62 100 82 78 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
01 October 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 107.90 77 78 100 67 71 82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 14.26 88 96 100 64 66 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2020 52 Week Low $ 16.74 61 53 100 65 60 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 July 2019 52 Week Low $ 17.21 71 59 100 73 53 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2019 52 Week Low $ 18.92 44 42 100 69 51 51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2019 52 Week Low $ 20.82 45 50 100 72 51 54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2017 52 Week Low $ 17.89 63 49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2017 52 Week Low $ 18.51 47 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 December 2016 52 Week Low $ 19.09 56 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: SFM) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 02 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.