VanEck Retail (US) (RTH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to RTH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.97%.   Win rate: 76.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.024.   Maximum drawdown: -24.15% on 24 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 35.53%. Time in market: 6606 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1223.40 on 06 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Retailers

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 05 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.00% * 7.74%) + (8.00% * 0.12%) - (16.00% * 5.76%) = 4.97%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 June 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 254.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 269.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 265.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 246.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
23 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 249.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
24 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 262.05 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 February 2026   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 263.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 262.46 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 264.33 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 253.38 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
12 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 256.18 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 249.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule schedule
10 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 253.18 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
14 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 245.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
07 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 247.01 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
12 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 253.20 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
03 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 247.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
11 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 245.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
01 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 237.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule
08 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 240.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
30 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 238.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
03 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 237.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
27 May 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 233.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 May 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 230.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 April 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 214.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 224.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 230.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 233.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 240.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 236.23 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 224.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 226.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 229.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 224.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 217.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 220.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 212.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 199.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 208.55 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 203.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 202.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 206.59 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 196.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 185.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 167.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 174.40 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 177.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 172.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 164.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 155.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 166.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 166.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 167.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 February 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 181.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 181.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 194.61 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 194.72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 191.71 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 195.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 175.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 September 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 181.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 177.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 176.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 170.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 172.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck Retail (US) (exchange: XNAS symbol: RTH) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 12 Jun 2026.