Gibraltar Industries Inc (ROCK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to ROCK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.23%.   Win rate: 72.41%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.166.   Maximum drawdown: -59.94% on 27 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 91.35%. Time in market: 6856 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $818.54 on 13 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Gibraltar Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 29 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (72.41% * 9.10%) + (17.24% * 1.53%) - (10.34% * 44.69%) = 2.23%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Gibraltar Industries Analysis

Market sector: Industrials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (47)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 34.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 April 2026   smart_toyLOW (53)    factoryLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 39.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
23 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (36)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 51.33 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 October 2025   smart_toyLOW (66)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 71.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (45)    factoryLOW   Gap Down $ 59.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (52)     Gap Down $ 63.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
02 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Down $ 67.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (31)     Gap Down $ 75.48 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 April 2023   smart_toyLOW (59)     Gap Down $ 47.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (57)     Gap Down $ 53.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Down $ 49.96 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Gap Down $ 40.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Down $ 42.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Gap Down $ 40.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Down $ 49.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Gap Down $ 74.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (20)     Gap Down $ 87.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (36)     Gap Down $ 93.63 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (48)     Gap Down $ 46.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 May 2020   smart_toyLOW (62)     Gap Down $ 44.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2020   smart_toyLOW (70)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 40.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (70)     Gap Down $ 53.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (74)     Gap Down $ 40.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (55)     Gap Down $ 38.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2019   smart_toyLOW (44)     Gap Down $ 41.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (69)     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 36.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 September 2018   smart_toyLOW (24)     Gap Down $ 47.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (50)     Gap Down $ 33.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 May 2017   smart_toyLOW (51)     Gap Down $ 33.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 February 2017   smart_toyLOW (45)     Gap Down $ 42.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2017   smart_toyLOW (49)     Gap Down $ 42.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (63)     Gap Down $ 45.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (59)     Gap Down $ 36.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 July 2016   smart_toyLOW (64)     Gap Down $ 34.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2016   smart_toyLOW (70)     Gap Down $ 28.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2016   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Down $ 27.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Gibraltar Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ROCK) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 25 Jun 2026.