Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to RGLD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.15%.   Win rate: 92.86%.   Sharpe Ratio: -11.623.   Maximum drawdown: -42.26% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 126.12%. Time in market: 6353 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $7302.65 on 09 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Royal Gold

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 56 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.86% * 8.71%) + (7.14% * 0.88%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.15%.
Wins: 52 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Royal Gold Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (31)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 216.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (37)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 242.94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 267.16 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (65)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 283.47 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 268.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
07 November 2025   smart_toyLOW (67)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 173.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2025   smart_toyLOW (62)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 175.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (57)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 158.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (57)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 172.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (58)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 138.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (73)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (60)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 144.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (60)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (52)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 121.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (47)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 February 2024   smart_toyLOW (47)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (42)    front_loaderLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 109.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (50)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 108.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (29)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 113.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (34)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 114.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (45)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 120.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (57)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (72)    front_loaderHIGH   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (63)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 118.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 103.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)    front_loaderHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 91.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022   smart_toyLOW (79)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (58)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 102.50 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 July 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)    front_loaderHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 108.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2022   smart_toyLOW (76)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 115.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2022   smart_toyLOW (76)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (57)    front_loaderLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 98.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 November 2021   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 103.32 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 94.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 111.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 117.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (42)     Mega Dump Lite $ 111.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2020   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 109.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 October 2020   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 121.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 September 2020   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 125.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2020   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 136.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 July 2020   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 123.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2020   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump Lite $ 125.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 April 2020   smart_toyLOW (68)     Mega Dump Lite $ 124.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Mega Dump Lite $ 90.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (47)     Mega Dump Lite $ 104.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 January 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)     Mega Dump Lite $ 113.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 November 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 115.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 118.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 September 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 123.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Mega Dump Lite $ 83.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)     Mega Dump Lite $ 86.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 November 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (28)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 August 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (29)     Mega Dump Lite $ 82.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 March 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 81.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 February 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 80.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 May 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 75.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (62)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 60.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 January 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 63.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 December 2016  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 65.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2016  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 72.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2016  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 67.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 September 2016  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 73.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2016  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 62.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2016  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2016   smart_toyLOW (78)     Mega Dump Lite $ 41.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 January 2016   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Mega Dump Lite $ 25.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Royal Gold Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: RGLD) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 30 Jun 2026.