Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to RGLD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.25%.   Win rate: 96.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.989.   Maximum drawdown: -38.70% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 92.46%. Time in market: 3434 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3188.11 on 28 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Royal Gold

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.43% * 8.54%) + (3.57% * 0.48%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.25%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Royal Gold Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
28 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.806  factory0.54   50 Day Low $ 219.49 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.923  factory0.54   50 Day Low $ 226.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.706  factory0.448   50 Day Low $ 174.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.816  factory0.277   50 Day Low $ 163.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.828  factory0.758   50 Day Low $ 135.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.623  factory0.515   50 Day Low $ 111.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887  factory0.644   50 Day Low $ 105.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.779  factory0.606   50 Day Low $ 110.56 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.917  factory0.663   50 Day Low $ 121.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975  factory0.869   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 89.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.597  factory0.79   50 Day Low $ 98.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.903  factory0.851   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 103.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.966  factory0.851   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 107.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982  factory0.846   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 122.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.411  factory0.442   50 Day Low $ 103.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.789  factory0.373   50 Day Low $ 109.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.757  factory0.364   50 Day Low $ 110.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.907  factory0.443   50 Day Low $ 106.45 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.859  factory0.653   50 Day Low $ 116.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.321  factory0.632   50 Day Low $ 120.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.983  factory0.813   50 Day Low $ 91.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.786  factory0.605   50 Day Low $ 110.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.739  factory0.616   50 Day Low $ 116.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.597  factory0.416   50 Day Low $ 84.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.87  factory0.803   50 Day Low $ 70.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.725  factory0.532   50 Day Low $ 75.07 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.71  factory0.718   50 Day Low $ 85.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908  factory0.597   50 Day Low $ 78.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 November 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768  factory0.495   50 Day Low $ 80.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 October 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.671  factory0.539   50 Day Low $ 82.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.562  factory0.425   50 Day Low $ 59.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2016  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.716  factory0.667   50 Day Low $ 60.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2016  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.794  factory0.627   50 Day Low $ 67.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Royal Gold Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: RGLD) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.