Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to QQQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.15%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.344.   Maximum drawdown: -27.79% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 93.47%. Time in market: 1924 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1487.14 on 14 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Nasdaq 100

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.03%) + (25.00% * 0.54%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.15%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
31 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 690.05 53 58 100 91 72 63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 518.12 46 61 100 79 77 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 458.26 86 91 100 76 77 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 476.70 62 81 100 76 79 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 467.50 55 73 100 85 77 68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 July 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 461.69 58 83 100 83 75 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 February 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 303.55 60 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 266.56 89 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 263.72 92 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 304.96 88 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 293.72 89 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 308.98 84 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 318.66 83 92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 362.33 40 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 343.62 50 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 347.42 60 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 March 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 309.62 51 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Invesco QQQ Trust (exchange: XNAS symbol: QQQ) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 12 Aug 2026.