Prospect Capital Corp (PSEC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to PSEC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -6.18%.   Win rate: 62.86%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.134.   Maximum drawdown: -55.81% on 23 December 2025.
Mean CAGR: 83.71%. Time in market: 10945 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $389.47 on 17 February 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Prospect Capital

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 35 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (62.86% * 8.46%) + (5.71% * 0.38%) - (31.43% * 36.64%) = -6.18%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 11

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Prospect Capital Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
05 August 2026 Gap Down 65 63 52 81 29 73 schedule schedule schedule
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 56 72 53 81 29 70 schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026 52 Week Low 82 60 52 81 34 82 schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026 26 Week Low 63 60 52 81 34 71 schedule schedule schedule
22 July 2026 50 Day Low 69 60 52 81 34 74 schedule schedule schedule
21 July 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 61 56 52 81 34 68 schedule schedule schedule
02 July 2026 Gap Down 56 69 54 81 38 69 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 58 51 54 81 38 64 schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 86 54 56 82 39 81 schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 60 53 56 82 39 66 schedule schedule schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.19 56 72 53 81 29 70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.25 86 54 56 82 39 81 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.18 66 91 54 81 38 82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.50 57 72 56 78 38 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
24 February 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.85 53 63 62 80 55 64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 January 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.88 77 52 64 81 62 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 December 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.48 84 67 64 80 62 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.74 74 60 66 82 65 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 October 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.74 79 72 62 68 60 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
15 September 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.77 73 75 65 69 55 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
12 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 2.80 84 55 67 67 54 79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
16 June 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 3.26 61 70 72 68 56 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 3.68 60 56 75 68 62 65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 3.58 96 93 78 65 65 97 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 January 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.36 65 82 86 68 73 76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.37 79 82 86 67 74 85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 November 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.40 80 91 89 70 77 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
17 September 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.46 66 73 93 55 79 73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 August 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.84 72 76 93 55 79 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 February 2024 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.59 62 84 100 52 81 72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.65 65 90 100 56 82 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
02 November 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.24 75 83 100 58 84 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
22 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.86 75 66 100 71 87 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 April 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 6.90 63 66 100 75 87 70 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 6.76 80 80 100 75 79 85 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.41 77 77 100 68 59 82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 7.25 87 85 100 67 60 91 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 November 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 7.52 78 85 100 68 63 86 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 6.41 94 94 100 66 62 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 7.46 91 85 100 66 62 92 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 7.28 92 93 100 65 60 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
07 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 7.80 81 89 100 67 61 88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 7.82 84 94 100 71 65 92 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 8.00 66 72 100 80 68 75 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 December 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 8.40 55 75 100 76 68 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 August 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 8.23 64 83 100 84 74 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 July 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 8.32 67 56 100 81 75 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 July 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.57 69 78 100 76 64 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.36 54 63 100 75 67 64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 3.80 65 71 100 73 69 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 3.53 93 95 100 74 65 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.54 71 86 100 74 51 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 June 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.59 75 72 100 90 92 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.47 69 52 100 86 94 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.95 96 97 100 85 95 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.96 73 57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 December 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.10 63 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 October 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.45 65 43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 4.87 54 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 August 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.22 72 65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.64 48 45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.69 63 43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.05 81 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 September 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 5.11 60 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Prospect Capital Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: PSEC) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.