Pool Corporation (POOL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to POOL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.61%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.425.   Maximum drawdown: -45.24% on 27 March 2026.
Mean CAGR: 107.48%. Time in market: 3930 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1124.86 on 20 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Pool Corporation

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 9.07%) + (5.00% * 0.15%) - (15.00% * 24.34%) = 3.61%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Pool Corporation Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.624  factory0.601   50 Day Low $ 192.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866  factory0.548   50 Day Low $ 201.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
19 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.793  factory0.48   50 Day Low $ 223.18 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 December 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.914  factory0.727   50 Day Low $ 231.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
13 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.715  factory0.66   50 Day Low $ 247.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
07 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.762  factory0.634   50 Day Low $ 303.73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.735  factory0.501   50 Day Low $ 286.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
25 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.973  factory0.775   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 290.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
19 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.931  factory0.634   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 323.18 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.66  factory0.754   50 Day Low $ 342.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
03 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.664  factory0.467   50 Day Low $ 301.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.623  factory0.347   50 Day Low $ 360.69 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.67  factory0.476   50 Day Low $ 364.04 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.926  factory0.838   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 322.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.731  factory0.618   50 Day Low $ 345.14 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.891  factory0.685   50 Day Low $ 316.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.761  factory0.662   50 Day Low $ 324.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.979  factory0.844   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 304.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.824  factory0.824   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 328.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.931  factory0.907   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 371.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.733  factory0.555   50 Day Low $ 417.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.857  factory0.638   50 Day Low $ 448.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.699  factory0.624   50 Day Low $ 496.67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.625  factory0.655   50 Day Low $ 448.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.779  factory0.511   50 Day Low $ 328.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.983  factory0.861   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 208.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.893  factory0.921   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 136.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.717  factory0.738   50 Day Low $ 146.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.802  factory0.493   50 Day Low $ 101.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.85  factory0.659   50 Day Low $ 112.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.712  factory0.607   50 Day Low $ 88.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.645  factory0.637   50 Day Low $ 90.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Pool Corporation (exchange: XNAS symbol: POOL) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.