PepsiCo Inc (PEP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to PEP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.06%.   Win rate: 87.50%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.546.   Maximum drawdown: -27.52% on 26 June 2025.
Mean CAGR: 62.72%. Time in market: 3232 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3165.13 on 02 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for PepsiCo

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.50% * 7.93%) + (12.50% * 0.92%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.06%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

PepsiCo Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.687  factory0.65   50 Day Low $ 149.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.595  factory0.701   50 Day Low $ 140.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.513  factory0.761   50 Day Low $ 129.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.82  factory0.807   50 Day Low $ 130.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.961  factory0.916   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 142.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8  factory0.83   50 Day Low $ 143.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.719  factory0.854   50 Day Low $ 156.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.598  factory0.765   50 Day Low $ 164.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741  factory0.68   50 Day Low $ 167.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.728  factory0.697   50 Day Low $ 164.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.533  factory0.753   50 Day Low $ 164.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.665  factory0.814   50 Day Low $ 172.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.794  factory0.785   50 Day Low $ 176.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.936  factory0.777   50 Day Low $ 177.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.778  factory0.797   50 Day Low $ 176.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.748  factory0.936   50 Day Low $ 167.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.959  factory0.943   50 Day Low $ 161.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.932  factory0.756   50 Day Low $ 165.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.49  factory0.697   50 Day Low $ 153.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833  factory0.648   50 Day Low $ 131.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.757  factory0.594   50 Day Low $ 139.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.42  factory0.787   50 Day Low $ 130.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 February 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.862  factory0.916   50 Day Low $ 130.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.778  factory0.69   50 Day Low $ 131.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.755  factory0.895   50 Day Low $ 122.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 October 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.655  factory0.758   50 Day Low $ 104.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.704  factory0.713   50 Day Low $ 95.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.849  factory0.773   50 Day Low $ 99.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.786  factory0.746   50 Day Low $ 104.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.685  factory0.65   50 Day Low $ 103.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2016   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.84  factory0.77   50 Day Low $ 92.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.683  factory0.789   50 Day Low $ 93.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.735  factory0.904   50 Day Low $ 88.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.99  factory0.956   50 Day Low $ 85.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for PepsiCo Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PEP) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 29 May 2026.