PepsiCo Inc (PEP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to PEP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.10%.   Win rate: 88.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.723.   Maximum drawdown: -27.52% on 26 June 2025.
Mean CAGR: 63.15%. Time in market: 3284 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3423.72 on 02 August 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for PepsiCo

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.00% * 7.94%) + (12.00% * 0.92%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.10%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

PepsiCo Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (63)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 140.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (41)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 149.98 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026   smart_toyLOW (65)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 140.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 June 2025   smart_toyLOW (61)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 129.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (68)    emoji_food_beverageHIGH   50 Day Low $ 130.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 April 2025   smart_toyHIGH (92)    emoji_food_beverageHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 142.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (70)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 143.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (66)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 156.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (44)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 164.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2024   smart_toyLOW (60)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 167.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (45)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   50 Day Low $ 164.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2024   smart_toyLOW (53)     50 Day Low $ 164.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (67)     50 Day Low $ 172.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (67)     50 Day Low $ 176.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 June 2023   smart_toyLOW (51)     50 Day Low $ 177.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 January 2023   smart_toyLOW (69)     50 Day Low $ 176.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     50 Day Low $ 167.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2022   smart_toyLOW (78)     50 Day Low $ 161.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 February 2022   smart_toyLOW (65)     50 Day Low $ 165.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2021   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 153.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 February 2021   smart_toyLOW (50)     50 Day Low $ 131.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2021   smart_toyLOW (52)     50 Day Low $ 139.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2020   smart_toyLOW (74)     50 Day Low $ 130.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 February 2020   smart_toyLOW (73)     50 Day Low $ 130.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 November 2019   smart_toyLOW (59)     50 Day Low $ 131.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (79)     50 Day Low $ 122.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (40)     50 Day Low $ 104.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2018   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 95.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (77)     50 Day Low $ 99.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (65)     50 Day Low $ 104.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2017   smart_toyLOW (60)     50 Day Low $ 103.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (64)     50 Day Low $ 92.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 September 2016   smart_toyLOW (70)     50 Day Low $ 93.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2016   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 88.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 January 2016   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 85.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for PepsiCo Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PEP) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.