5 February 2026: BTFDBot is currently being rebuilt following an extensive test with 1507 real money trades. The buy signals are in the process of being restructured. 52 Week Lows, 50 Day Lows, Williams %R Weekly and Super Oversold from 52 week lows have been rebuilt. There is a new 26 Week Low buy signal and Super Oversold can also occur from this signal. More buy signals will be added soon. There is also a new 6% swing trading profit target, which is the profit target I now use for real money tests. Happy trading 😀.

Paychex Inc (PAYX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator: 52 week low 26 week low Super Oversold 50 day low Williams %R (Weekly) [ What are these indicators? | Switch to PAYX's monthly backtests ]
Profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 5.66%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 2.253. Maximum drawdown: 38.82% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 149.06%. Time in market: 832 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2181.39 on 14 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Paychex

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 28 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (100% * 5.66%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.66%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Paychex Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
		5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
03 February 2026	$98.78	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
02 January 2026	$110.36	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 October 2025	$119.88	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
15 September 2025	$133.66	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 August 2025	$136.79	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 October 2023	$109.71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
31 May 2023	$103.89	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2023	$105.57	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2023	$109.20	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
30 September 2022	$113.18	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
16 June 2022	$114.75	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2022	$116.59	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2020	$82.61	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
05 August 2019	$79.84	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 December 2018	$59.69	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 October 2018	$64.24	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2018	$55.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2018	$58.23	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2018	$58.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 August 2017	$51.27	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2017	$51.85	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016	$49.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for Paychex Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PAYX) was last updated 06 Feb 2026 12:37. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 03 Feb 2026.