Paychex Inc (PAYX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to PAYX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.45%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 1.239. Maximum drawdown: -38.82% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 103.59%. Time in market: 1339 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2463.82 on 21 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Paychex

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.45%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.45%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Paychex Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
09 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (78) account_balanceLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 88.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
03 February 2026 smart_toyMEDIUM (80) account_balanceLOW	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 98.78	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
02 January 2026 smart_toyLOW (76) account_balanceLOW	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 110.36	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 October 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) account_balanceLOW	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 119.88	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
15 September 2025 smart_toyLOW (54) account_balanceLOW	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 133.66	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 August 2025 smart_toyLOW (65) account_balanceLOW	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 136.79	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
27 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (77) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 109.71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
31 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (56)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 103.89	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2023 smart_toyLOW (69) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 105.57	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2023 smart_toyLOW (73) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 109.20	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
30 September 2022 smart_toyHIGH (92) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 113.18	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
16 June 2022 smart_toyHIGH (93)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 114.75	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2022 smart_toyLOW (74)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 116.59	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (81) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 82.61	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
05 August 2019 smart_toyMEDIUM (84) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 79.84	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 December 2018 smart_toyHIGH (97) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 59.69	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (67) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 64.24	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2018 smart_toyLOW (74)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 55.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2018 smart_toyLOW (71)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 58.23	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2018 smart_toyLOW (77) sirenFIRE SALE	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 58.80	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 August 2017 smart_toyLOW (52)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 51.27	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2017 smart_toyLOW (59)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 51.85	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016 smart_toyLOW (54)	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 49.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for Paychex Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PAYX) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 25 Jun 2026.