Paychex Inc (PAYX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to PAYX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.45%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.239.   Maximum drawdown: -38.82% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 103.59%. Time in market: 1339 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2463.82 on 21 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Paychex

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.45%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.45%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Paychex Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 April 2026   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.85 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 88.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.973 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 98.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 January 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.977 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 110.36 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 October 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.943 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 119.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.905 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 133.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 August 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.849 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 136.79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 October 2023   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.834 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 109.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 May 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.978 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 103.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2023   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.905 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 105.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.907 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 109.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.986 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 113.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.91 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 114.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.906 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 116.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 February 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.898 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 82.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2019   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.869 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 79.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.928 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 59.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 October 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.766 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 64.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2018   HIGH     smart_toy0.75 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 55.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.938 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 58.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.929 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 58.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 August 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.872 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.874 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.882 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 49.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Paychex Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PAYX) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:51. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Apr 2026.