Paychex Inc (PAYX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to PAYX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.32%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.899.   Maximum drawdown: -38.82% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 82.93%. Time in market: 1957 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3093.88 on 31 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Paychex

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.32%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.32%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Paychex Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 April 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.527  factory0.529   50 Day Low $ 86.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
11 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.971  factory0.664   50 Day Low $ 96.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.974  factory0.694   50 Day Low $ 109.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943  factory0.824   50 Day Low $ 119.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946  factory0.725   50 Day Low $ 134.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.842  factory0.583   50 Day Low $ 139.44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.935  factory0.686   50 Day Low $ 141.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.982  factory0.89   50 Day Low $ 140.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
18 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.852  factory0.797   50 Day Low $ 137.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
27 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.862  factory0.652   50 Day Low $ 117.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 March 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.769  factory0.599   50 Day Low $ 119.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.888  factory0.899   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 111.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 September 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.772  factory0.753   50 Day Low $ 113.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.905  factory0.658   50 Day Low $ 105.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.927  factory0.87   50 Day Low $ 111.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.987  factory0.942   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 114.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.91  factory0.937   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 114.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967  factory0.892   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 118.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 January 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.914  factory0.741   50 Day Low $ 119.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831  factory0.743   50 Day Low $ 109.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 January 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866  factory0.574   50 Day Low $ 87.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.898  factory0.84   50 Day Low $ 82.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.861  factory0.89   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 78.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.928  factory0.941   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 59.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.841  factory0.895   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 64.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.75  factory0.64   50 Day Low $ 55.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.938  factory0.75   50 Day Low $ 58.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.846  factory0.698   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 59.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.872  factory0.612   50 Day Low $ 51.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.801  factory0.725   50 Day Low $ 51.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.844  factory0.696   50 Day Low $ 52.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.875  factory0.705   50 Day Low $ 49.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.813  factory0.751   50 Day Low $ 51.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Paychex Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PAYX) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.