Paychex Inc (PAYX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to PAYX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.01%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 8.076.   Maximum drawdown: -29.52% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 88.46%. Time in market: 311 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1289.06 on 12 July 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Paychex

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 4 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.01%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.01%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Paychex Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
30 July 2026 Gap Down 65 52 95 86 77 68 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 63 53 95 84 79 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 52 57 95 84 79 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2026 Collapsed Bubble 35 63 95 84 79 51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 48 78 95 84 79 65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2026 Gap Down 50 87 95 83 79 68 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026 Collapsed Bubble 56 86 95 83 79 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2026 Mega Dump Lite 78 86 95 83 79 87 schedule schedule schedule
30 April 2026 Double Bottom 89 87 95 83 79 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2026 Collapsed Bubble 58 76 95 83 79 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
10 April 2026 52 Week Low $ 86.68 87 71 95 81 78 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 February 2026 52 Week Low $ 96.54 86 68 95 83 82 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 January 2026 52 Week Low $ 109.04 86 41 95 84 85 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
29 October 2025 52 Week Low $ 119.88 77 59 95 82 84 77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 September 2025 52 Week Low $ 131.79 71 80 95 70 78 79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 April 2023 52 Week Low $ 105.57 90 69 100 72 93 86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2023 52 Week Low $ 107.80 85 75 100 75 89 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 October 2022 52 Week Low $ 110.08 98 93 100 66 79 98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020 52 Week Low $ 71.71 90 78 100 72 91 89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Paychex Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: PAYX) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.