Newell Brands Inc (NWL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NWL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -1.93%.   Win rate: 73.68%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.024.   Maximum drawdown: -68.07% on 10 July 2024.
Mean CAGR: 141.42%. Time in market: 3973 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $229.47 on 04 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Newell Brands

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (73.68% * 10.07%) + (5.26% * 1.18%) - (21.05% * 44.70%) = -1.93%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Newell Brands Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 March 2026   65     Mega Dump $ 3.58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 December 2025   50     Mega Dump $ 3.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2025   50     Mega Dump $ 3.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2025   45     Mega Dump $ 6.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 August 2025   45     Mega Dump $ 5.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2025   45     Mega Dump $ 5.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule schedule schedule
14 April 2025   45     Mega Dump $ 4.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2025   60     Mega Dump $ 6.54 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 August 2024   45     Mega Dump $ 7.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2023   50     Mega Dump $ 7.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2023   70     Mega Dump $ 6.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 May 2023   70     Mega Dump $ 8.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2023   70     Mega Dump $ 12.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 March 2023   45     Mega Dump $ 11.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 October 2022   60     Mega Dump $ 14.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 September 2022   60     Mega Dump $ 17.85 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 May 2020   45     Mega Dump $ 12.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020   45     Mega Dump $ 12.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   75     Mega Dump $ 15.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 April 2019   45     Mega Dump $ 14.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2019   40     Mega Dump $ 14.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2019   25     Mega Dump $ 19.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 December 2018   90     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 16.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2018   80     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 14.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 August 2018   80     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 18.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 January 2018   50     Mega Dump $ 23.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 December 2017   55     Mega Dump $ 27.39 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 November 2017   50     Mega Dump $ 27.24 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Newell Brands Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NWL) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:33. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 26 Mar 2026.