Newell Brands Inc (NWL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to NWL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -9.65%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.932.   Maximum drawdown: -71.57% on 31 May 2019.
Mean CAGR: 114.67%. Time in market: 8923 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $57.35 on 26 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Newell Brands

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 33 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 9.31%) + (6.06% * 2.02%) - (27.27% * 58.61%) = -9.65%.
Wins: 22 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 9

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Newell Brands Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887  factory0.78   50 Day Low $ 3.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.778  factory0.81   50 Day Low $ 4.82 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 August 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.823  factory0.91   50 Day Low $ 4.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.968  factory0.906   50 Day Low $ 6.23 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 February 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965  factory0.799   50 Day Low $ 7.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.797  factory0.529   50 Day Low $ 6.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 April 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.503  factory0.485   50 Day Low $ 7.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 February 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.894  factory0.724   50 Day Low $ 7.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.735  factory0.883   50 Day Low $ 6.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.919  factory0.721   50 Day Low $ 9.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.997  factory0.612   50 Day Low $ 8.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.603  factory0.556   50 Day Low $ 11.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.623  factory0.781   50 Day Low $ 12.60 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 December 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.696  factory0.865   50 Day Low $ 12.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.712  factory0.88   50 Day Low $ 13.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
01 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.73  factory0.943   50 Day Low $ 17.59 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958  factory0.894   50 Day Low $ 20.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.985  factory0.614   50 Day Low $ 21.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.634  factory0.775   50 Day Low $ 21.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.828  factory0.665   50 Day Low $ 22.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.717  factory0.707   50 Day Low $ 24.20 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.548  factory0.599   50 Day Low $ 25.61 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.913  factory0.55   50 Day Low $ 25.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 February 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.751  factory0.701   50 Day Low $ 17.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.952  factory0.888   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 12.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 April 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.713  factory0.508   50 Day Low $ 13.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.796  factory0.676   50 Day Low $ 14.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 February 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.674  factory0.763   50 Day Low $ 16.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 September 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.664  factory0.695   50 Day Low $ 18.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 August 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.804  factory0.661   50 Day Low $ 19.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
31 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.805  factory0.519   50 Day Low $ 21.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
25 January 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.936  factory0.694   50 Day Low $ 23.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
19 October 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.74  factory0.583   50 Day Low $ 35.71 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.767  factory0.453   50 Day Low $ 41.22 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.646  factory0.336   50 Day Low $ 44.29 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.596  factory0.545   50 Day Low $ 39.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.809  factory0.55   50 Day Low $ 38.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.938  factory0.708   50 Day Low $ 39.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
28 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.782  factory0.725   50 Day Low $ 42.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

 

The data for Newell Brands Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NWL) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.