NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NVDA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.10%.   Win rate: 92.86%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.918.   Maximum drawdown: -46.73% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 194.61%. Time in market: 1100 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2265.85 on 03 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for NVIDIA

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.86% * 9.76%) + (7.14% * 0.54%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.10%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

NVIDIA Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 March 2026   15     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 173.66 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 102.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2025  bubble_chart   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 118.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 121.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 41.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 October 2022  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 12.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2022  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 14.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 June 2022  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 16.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 16.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 20.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   45     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 22.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   0     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 12.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   80     mode_heat Williams %R (Weekly) $ 5.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2019   0     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 3.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018  bubble_chart   40     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 3.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 4.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2018  bubble_chart   30     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 5.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 April 2017  bubble_chart   5     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 2.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for NVIDIA Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: NVDA) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 10:51. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.