NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to NVDA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.10%.   Win rate: 92.86%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.918.   Maximum drawdown: -46.73% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 194.61%. Time in market: 1100 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2265.85 on 03 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for NVIDIA

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.86% * 9.76%) + (7.14% * 0.54%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.10%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

NVIDIA Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
07 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 47 83 100 95 70 66 schedule schedule schedule
29 July 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 55 88 100 95 70 73 schedule schedule schedule
13 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 58 88 100 94 73 75 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 62 90 100 94 73 78 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 67 74 100 94 74 78 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 69 74 100 94 74 79 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 47 78 100 94 73 65 schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 31 88 100 94 73 54 schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 50 76 100 94 73 66 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 53 92 100 91 73 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 July 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 192.98 55 88 100 95 70 73 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 March 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 173.66 76 93 100 89 72 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2025  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 102.66 78 93 100 80 72 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2025  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 118.78 45 80 100 80 73 63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 121.61 34 87 100 81 73 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 41.08 86 91 100 87 90 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 October 2022  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 12.28 93 93 100 89 74 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2022  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 14.06 84 94 100 89 74 94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 June 2022  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 16.42 88 90 100 89 74 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2022  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 16.31 92 93 100 99 81 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 20.92 62 94 100 99 81 80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
07 March 2022  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 22.06 67 85 100 93 76 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 12.56 59 81 100 89 82 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 5.09 88 96 100 94 94 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2019  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 3.64 75 92 100 95 89 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 3.52 98 96 100 95 100 100 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 4.06 61 90 100 95 100 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2018  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 5.91 61 94 100 96 100 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 April 2017  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) $ 2.37 82 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for NVIDIA Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: NVDA) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.