NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to NVDA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.20%.   Win rate: 94.74%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.557.   Maximum drawdown: -64.80% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 232.55%. Time in market: 1951 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $10008.24 on 29 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for NVIDIA

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 38 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.74% * 9.23%) + (5.26% * 8.75%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.20%.
Wins: 36 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

NVIDIA Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
13 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (58)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (62)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (67)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low   smart_toyLOW (69)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (47)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
03 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (31)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
01 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (50)    computerLOW   schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (53)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
08 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven   smart_toyLOW (51)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (31)    computerLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
21 November 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 180.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 July 2025   smart_toyLOW (56)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 171.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (79)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 136.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)    computerLOW   Gap Up $ 127.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)    computerHIGH   Gap Up $ 104.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    computerHIGH   Gap Up $ 106.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Gap Up $ 116.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 113.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Up $ 105.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Up $ 79.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Gap Up $ 46.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Up $ 38.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 May 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 38.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 23.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2022   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Gap Up $ 17.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 16.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 14.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (97)     Gap Up $ 13.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 17.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 16.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)     Gap Up $ 22.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 24.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Gap Up $ 22.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Gap Up $ 32.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 29.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     Gap Up $ 12.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     Gap Up $ 13.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Up $ 12.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 13.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 June 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Gap Up $ 8.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 6.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 6.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 5.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Gap Up $ 6.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Gap Up $ 7.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 August 2019   smart_toyHIGH (94)     Gap Up $ 4.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 July 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Gap Up $ 4.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 February 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 3.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Gap Up $ 4.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     Gap Up $ 5.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 April 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 5.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (73)     Gap Up $ 5.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (96)     Gap Up $ 3.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2016  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 2.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     Gap Up $ 1.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2016   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 0.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for NVIDIA Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: NVDA) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 24 Jul 2026.