Sprott Nickel Miners (Global) (NIKL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to NIKL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -10.59%. Win rate: 45.45%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.644. Maximum drawdown: -65.32% on 09 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 56.52%. Time in market: 4445 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $597.06 on 05 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Global Nickel Miners

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (45.45% * 8.23%) + (9.09% * 0.97%) - (45.45% * 31.73%) = -10.59%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
27 July 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 12.74	48	71	37	85	0	66	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 June 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 13.59	86	54	29	89	0	84	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 May 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 14.86	52	82	29	86	0	72	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 April 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 17.72	39	68	31	86	0	58	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 March 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 16.27	70	76	26	84	0	83	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
10 February 2026 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 17.78	58	57	14	85	0	68	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
12 December 2025 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 13.89	75	73	6	98	0	86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2025 bubble_chart	Mega Dump Lite	$ 13.93	65	76		100	0	81	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2025	Mega Dump Lite	$ 11.99	58	55	100	99	98	65	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 June 2025	Mega Dump Lite	$ 11.23	59	63					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2025	Mega Dump Lite	$ 9.59	82	68					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2025	Mega Dump Lite	$ 8.93	81	81					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025	Mega Dump Lite	$ 9.51	69	58					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2025	Mega Dump Lite	$ 10.53	52	87					select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2024	Mega Dump Lite	$ 10.65	75	94					select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
05 November 2024	Mega Dump Lite	$ 12.65	51	79					select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
26 August 2024	Mega Dump Lite	$ 12.34	60	63					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
23 July 2024	Mega Dump Lite	$ 12.61	53	64					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
21 June 2024	Mega Dump Lite	$ 13.13	45	68					select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
21 February 2024	Mega Dump Lite	$ 12.25	60	82					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 January 2024	Mega Dump Lite	$ 12.97	76	78					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2023	Mega Dump Lite	$ 13.54	69	91					select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
14 November 2023	Mega Dump Lite	$ 18.14	65	92					disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
11 October 2023	Mega Dump Lite	$ 17.81	46	88					disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
06 September 2023	Mega Dump Lite	$ 20.14	39	89					disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
04 August 2023	Mega Dump Lite	$ 21.68	30	45					disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
03 July 2023	Mega Dump Lite	$ 21.91	44	71					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
30 May 2023	Mega Dump Lite	$ 20.29	65	67					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default

The data for Sprott Nickel Miners (Global) (exchange: XNAS symbol: NIKL) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this ETF is available from 22 Mar 2023 - 12 Aug 2026.