Netflix Inc (NFLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NFLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.06%.   Win rate: 93.44%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.244.   Maximum drawdown: -72.91% on 14 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 172.58%. Time in market: 5843 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $14796.17 on 09 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Netflix

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 61 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.44% * 9.22%) + (3.28% * 1.29%) - (3.28% * 18.02%) = 8.06%.
Wins: 57 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Netflix Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.675   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.32   Mega Dump Lite $ 102.74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.778   Mega Dump Lite $ 97.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.86   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
02 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.774   Mega Dump Lite $ 109.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.807   Mega Dump Lite $ 111.21 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 August 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.782   Mega Dump Lite $ 116.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
09 May 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.729   Mega Dump Lite $ 114.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
07 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.984   Mega Dump Lite $ 84.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.93   Mega Dump Lite $ 98.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.943   Mega Dump Lite $ 85.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.839   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.491   Mega Dump Lite $ 64.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.918   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.611   Mega Dump Lite $ 37.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.765   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 July 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.538   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.27 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.647   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 January 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.53   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.763   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.756   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.987   Mega Dump Lite $ 23.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978   Mega Dump Lite $ 22.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.962   Mega Dump Lite $ 21.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy1   Mega Dump Lite $ 17.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy1   Mega Dump Lite $ 18.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.923   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.957   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.987   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.808   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.92 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.714   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.27 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.778   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.593   Mega Dump Lite $ 55.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.771   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.79   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 November 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.784   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.79   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.65   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 July 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.74   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 June 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.652   Mega Dump Lite $ 44.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 May 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.795   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.693   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.982   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 32.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 November 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.877   Mega Dump Lite $ 28.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.769   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.701   Mega Dump Lite $ 29.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.622   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 June 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.825   Mega Dump Lite $ 35.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.733   Mega Dump Lite $ 35.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 February 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.605   Mega Dump Lite $ 36.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 January 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.893   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968   Mega Dump Lite $ 25.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.885   Mega Dump Lite $ 27.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.899   Mega Dump Lite $ 34.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 September 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.746   Mega Dump Lite $ 35.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.837   Mega Dump Lite $ 34.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 May 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.739   Mega Dump Lite $ 32.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.553   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.446   Mega Dump Lite $ 31.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 February 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.794   Mega Dump Lite $ 26.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.515   Mega Dump Lite $ 18.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.696   Mega Dump Lite $ 16.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.611   Mega Dump Lite $ 18.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 June 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.748   Mega Dump Lite $ 15.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.793   Mega Dump Lite $ 12.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.753   Mega Dump Lite $ 11.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.885   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.592   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.91   Mega Dump Lite $ 10.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.882   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 March 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.963   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.98   Mega Dump Lite $ 9.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2015   LOW   smart_toy0.377   Mega Dump Lite $ 11.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Netflix Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NFLX) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 03 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.