Netflix Inc (NFLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to NFLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.99%.   Win rate: 86.36%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.067.   Maximum drawdown: -72.27% on 14 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 180.05%. Time in market: 2748 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2605.79 on 07 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Netflix

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.36% * 9.57%) + (4.55% * 0.75%) - (9.09% * 14.40%) = 6.99%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Netflix Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (31)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 80.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026   smart_toyLOW (67)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 85.99 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 January 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (59)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 83.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 93.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 November 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 108.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 115.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)    shopping_cartLOW   50 Day Low $ 117.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)    shopping_cartHIGH   sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 84.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     50 Day Low $ 61.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)     50 Day Low $ 55.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (50)     50 Day Low $ 39.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     50 Day Low $ 40.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     50 Day Low $ 22.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)     50 Day Low $ 16.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     50 Day Low $ 23.57 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     50 Day Low $ 36.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)     50 Day Low $ 52.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     50 Day Low $ 60.83 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (41)     50 Day Low $ 50.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     50 Day Low $ 47.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (92)     sirenFIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 32.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2019   smart_toyLOW (66)     50 Day Low $ 25.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019   smart_toyLOW (76)     50 Day Low $ 29.32 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2019   smart_toyLOW (57)     50 Day Low $ 32.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     50 Day Low $ 34.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (97)     50 Day Low $ 25.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (36)     50 Day Low $ 31.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2018  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)     50 Day Low $ 33.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 July 2017   smart_toyLOW (72)     50 Day Low $ 14.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     50 Day Low $ 8.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2016   smart_toyLOW (69)     50 Day Low $ 8.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Netflix Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NFLX) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 03 Dec 2015 - 15 Jul 2026.