Netflix Inc (NFLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to NFLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.99%.   Win rate: 86.36%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.067.   Maximum drawdown: -72.27% on 14 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 180.05%. Time in market: 2748 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2605.79 on 07 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Netflix

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.36% * 9.57%) + (4.55% * 0.75%) - (9.09% * 14.40%) = 6.99%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Netflix Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.685  factory0.531   50 Day Low $ 85.99 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 January 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.676  factory0.729   50 Day Low $ 83.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.845  factory0.645   50 Day Low $ 93.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.737  factory0.639   50 Day Low $ 108.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.745  factory0.646   50 Day Low $ 115.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.551  factory0.612   50 Day Low $ 117.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.984  factory0.9   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 84.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.757  factory0.704   50 Day Low $ 61.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.692  factory0.449   50 Day Low $ 55.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.595  factory0.796   50 Day Low $ 39.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 August 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.765  factory0.758   50 Day Low $ 40.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967  factory0.898   50 Day Low $ 22.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy1  factory0.982   50 Day Low $ 16.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.996  factory0.907   50 Day Low $ 23.57 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967  factory0.775   50 Day Low $ 36.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.842  factory0.479   50 Day Low $ 52.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.829  factory0.715   50 Day Low $ 60.83 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.695  factory0.373   50 Day Low $ 50.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.538  factory0.729   50 Day Low $ 47.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.963  factory0.943   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 32.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.758  factory0.735   50 Day Low $ 25.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.73  factory0.794   50 Day Low $ 29.32 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.591  factory0.675   50 Day Low $ 32.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.763  factory0.875   50 Day Low $ 34.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968  factory0.952   50 Day Low $ 25.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.912  factory0.906   50 Day Low $ 31.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.906  factory0.749   50 Day Low $ 33.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.756  factory0.751   50 Day Low $ 14.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.926  factory0.819   50 Day Low $ 8.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.71  factory0.754   50 Day Low $ 8.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Netflix Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NFLX) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 03 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.