Netflix Inc (NFLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to NFLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.32%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.141.   Maximum drawdown: -53.76% on 14 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 157.67%. Time in market: 644 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1123.87 on 19 May 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Netflix

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 4 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 12.18%) + (25.00% * 0.75%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.32%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Netflix Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
31 July 2026 Mega Dump Lite 48 59 87 90 51 61 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 59 65 87 90 56 70 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026 Super Oversold (26) 78 65 87 90 56 81 schedule schedule schedule
17 July 2026 50 Day Low 71 65 87 90 56 77 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 54 57 88 90 57 64 schedule schedule schedule
29 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 90 56 88 90 57 84 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 53 58 88 90 57 64 schedule schedule schedule
24 June 2026 Simple Mean Reversion 89 49 88 90 57 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
22 June 2026 Gap Down 48 50 88 90 57 57 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 52 Week Low 61 50 88 90 57 65 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 June 2026 52 Week Low $ 74.51 61 50 88 90 57 65 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 January 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 83.94 78 52 88 87 69 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 16.86 97 91 100 80 79 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 April 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 23.57 60 79 100 88 86 74 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 36.49 92 73 100 79 79 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 39.90 88 75 100 79 79 88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Netflix Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NFLX) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 03 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.