Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to MSFT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.24%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 7.726.   Maximum drawdown: -20.70% on 03 November 2022.
Mean CAGR: 191.93%. Time in market: 739 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1730.27 on 21 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Microsoft

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.24%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.24%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Microsoft Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
25 June 2026   smart_toyLOW (43)    computerLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 357.80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (65)    computerLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 377.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 February 2026   smart_toyLOW (42)    computerLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 396.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
14 January 2026   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)    computerLOW   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 462.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)    computerLOW   sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 494.58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 March 2025   smart_toyLOW (72)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 383.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2025   smart_toyLOW (56)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 406.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2024   smart_toyLOW (66)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 395.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (69)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 312.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 224.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 242.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 243.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2022   smart_toyLOW (78)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 273.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2020   smart_toyHIGH (94)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 141.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   smart_toyHIGH (91)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 97.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2018   smart_toyLOW (73)     sirenFIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 102.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 45.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Microsoft Corporation (exchange: XNAS symbol: MSFT) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 25 Jun 2026.