Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to MRVL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.46%.   Win rate: 82.14%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.233.   Maximum drawdown: -58.86% on 05 January 2023.
Mean CAGR: 167.85%. Time in market: 4272 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3123.71 on 29 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Marvell Technology

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 28 signal(s) occurring before 02 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (82.14% * 9.06%) + (10.71% * 2.05%) - (7.14% * 16.86%) = 6.46%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Marvell Technology Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 June 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW    computerLOW   Gap Down $ 281.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 90.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 89.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 75.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 May 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Gap Down $ 55.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 114.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 78.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 54.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 January 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 39.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 December 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 43.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starHIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 39.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starHIGH     sirenFIRE SALE Gap Down $ 44.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 59.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 58.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 February 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 74.36 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 January 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 85.58 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 November 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 73.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 46.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2021  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 52.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 December 2020  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 43.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 October 2020  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 40.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2020  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 33.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 22.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 24.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 24.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 May 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 22.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 March 2019   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 19.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starHIGH     Gap Down $ 14.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 20.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
19 April 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 20.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2018  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 22.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 November 2017  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Gap Down $ 22.23 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2017   LOW     Gap Down $ 14.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2016   LOW     Gap Down $ 11.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Marvell Technology Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: MRVL) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 09 Jun 2026.