Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to MRVL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.09%.   Win rate: 96.15%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.195.   Maximum drawdown: -42.53% on 05 January 2023.
Mean CAGR: 209.53%. Time in market: 1422 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $4274.54 on 26 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Marvell Technology

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.15% * 8.37%) + (3.85% * 1.01%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.09%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Marvell Technology Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
29 August 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825  factory0.581   50 Day Low $ 63.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2025  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.781  factory0.708   50 Day Low $ 63.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.91  factory0.725   50 Day Low $ 101.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.771  factory0.683   50 Day Low $ 65.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 April 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.749  factory0.495   50 Day Low $ 63.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 October 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.852  factory0.775   50 Day Low $ 48.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.93  factory0.78   50 Day Low $ 53.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 August 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.887  factory0.532   50 Day Low $ 57.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.541  factory0.447   50 Day Low $ 37.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 December 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.971  factory0.744   50 Day Low $ 37.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978  factory0.852   50 Day Low $ 44.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.855  factory0.782   50 Day Low $ 49.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.625  factory0.38   50 Day Low $ 61.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.855  factory0.454   50 Day Low $ 63.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.979  factory0.514   50 Day Low $ 68.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.708  factory0.5   50 Day Low $ 46.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.848  factory0.509   50 Day Low $ 33.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.601  factory0.626   50 Day Low $ 22.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.632  factory0.59   50 Day Low $ 23.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.865  factory0.793   50 Day Low $ 23.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.99  factory0.91   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 14.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.923  factory0.85   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 15.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 October 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.813  factory0.736   50 Day Low $ 18.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 August 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.731  factory0.811   50 Day Low $ 19.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.796  factory0.871   50 Day Low $ 19.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.754  factory0.598   50 Day Low $ 19.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 March 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.665  factory0.664   50 Day Low $ 20.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.745  factory0.591   50 Day Low $ 20.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
04 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.725  factory0.404   50 Day Low $ 15.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.686  factory0.419   50 Day Low $ 14.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Marvell Technology Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: MRVL) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 29 May 2026.