Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to MNST's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.59%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.793.   Maximum drawdown: -20.09% on 14 March 2022.
Mean CAGR: 103.96%. Time in market: 2316 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3119.46 on 02 April 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Monster Beverage

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.59%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.59%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Monster Beverage Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.826  factory0.645   50 Day Low $ 75.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
11 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.831  factory0.512   50 Day Low $ 58.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.92  factory0.772   50 Day Low $ 50.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.746  factory0.777   50 Day Low $ 44.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.628  factory0.376   50 Day Low $ 52.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.703  factory0.428   50 Day Low $ 54.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.716  factory0.724   50 Day Low $ 55.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.765  factory0.908   50 Day Low $ 49.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.701  factory0.904   50 Day Low $ 44.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.824  factory0.566   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 41.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.522  factory0.75   50 Day Low $ 41.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.42  factory0.632   50 Day Low $ 45.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 February 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.79  factory0.634   50 Day Low $ 43.31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 October 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.636  factory0.703   50 Day Low $ 38.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.985  factory0.905   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 30.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.666  factory0.638   50 Day Low $ 27.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.77  factory0.755   50 Day Low $ 30.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2019   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.693  factory0.764   50 Day Low $ 26.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.963  factory0.925   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 25.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 September 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.407  factory0.614   50 Day Low $ 29.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 May 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.656  factory0.589   50 Day Low $ 26.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.875  factory0.564   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 27.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.641  factory0.38   50 Day Low $ 20.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.896  factory0.799   50 Day Low $ 23.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.886  factory0.519   50 Day Low $ 25.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Monster Beverage Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: MNST) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.