MercadoLibre Inc (MELI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to MELI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.35%.   Win rate: 97.30%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.881.   Maximum drawdown: -62.18% on 16 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 184.16%. Time in market: 2573 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5945.83 on 21 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for MercadoLibre

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 37 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (97.30% * 10.10%) + (0% * 0%) - (2.70% * 17.44%) = 9.35%.
Wins: 36 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MercadoLibre Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Score Performance
5% 6% 7.5%
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (56)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
16 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (52)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down   smart_toyLOW (57)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound   smart_toyLOW (43)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite   smart_toyLOW (55)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion (RoC)   smart_toyLOW (50)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion   smart_toyHIGH (96)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (78)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026  bubble_chart 26 Week Low   smart_toyLOW (55)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly)   smart_toyLOW (36)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   schedule schedule schedule

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (41)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 1788.35 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (68)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 2290.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 May 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (23)    emoji_food_beverageHIGH   Gap Up $ 2437.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (43)    emoji_food_beverageHIGH   Gap Up $ 1890.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (34)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 2251.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
05 August 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 1721.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (56)    emoji_food_beverageLOW   Gap Up $ 1648.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 August 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (30)     Gap Up $ 1308.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2023   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 1047.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2022   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Gap Up $ 865.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2022   smart_toyLOW (78)     Gap Up $ 980.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (87)     Gap Up $ 959.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2022   smart_toyHIGH (91)     Gap Up $ 948.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 824.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 October 2022   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 877.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 August 2022   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 1054.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Gap Up $ 1019.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Gap Up $ 725.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Gap Up $ 831.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Gap Up $ 946.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (71)     Gap Up $ 947.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 December 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (66)     Gap Up $ 1193.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 November 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (41)     Gap Up $ 1647.19 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 August 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (25)     Gap Up $ 1766.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Gap Up $ 1540.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (72)     Gap Up $ 1540.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (77)     Gap Up $ 1483.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     Gap Up $ 1459.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Gap Up $ 1055.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 August 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Gap Up $ 1119.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 May 2020   smart_toyLOW (73)     Gap Up $ 761.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (81)     Gap Up $ 540.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Gap Up $ 536.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Gap Up $ 490.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Gap Up $ 461.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (70)     Gap Up $ 564.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 August 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Gap Up $ 686.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (79)     Gap Up $ 566.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2019  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Gap Up $ 451.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (63)     Gap Up $ 318.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 November 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Gap Up $ 266.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 May 2017  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Gap Up $ 274.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2016   smart_toyLOW (69)     Gap Up $ 126.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for MercadoLibre Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: MELI) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Mar 2016 - 24 Jul 2026.