Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to MCRI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.64%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.369.   Maximum drawdown: -67.96% on 19 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 122.05%. Time in market: 3295 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3190.35 on 25 July 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Monarch Casino & Resort

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 8.93%) + (16.67% * 1.21%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.64%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Monarch Casino & Resort Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.604  factory0.628   50 Day Low $ 89.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.701  factory0.622   50 Day Low $ 96.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.944  factory0.796   50 Day Low $ 80.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.642  factory0.384   50 Day Low $ 66.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.693  factory0.465   50 Day Low $ 66.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.886  factory0.691   50 Day Low $ 63.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.791  factory0.677   50 Day Low $ 66.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 May 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.901  factory0.842   50 Day Low $ 64.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 April 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.648  factory0.486   50 Day Low $ 69.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.575  factory0.824   50 Day Low $ 73.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 January 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.73  factory0.622   50 Day Low $ 75.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.975  factory0.925   50 Day Low $ 54.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.946  factory0.932   50 Day Low $ 60.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.844  factory0.813   50 Day Low $ 70.81 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.852  factory0.514   50 Day Low $ 64.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.797  factory0.682   50 Day Low $ 66.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.77  factory0.622   50 Day Low $ 64.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.725  factory0.648   50 Day Low $ 43.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.832  factory0.865   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 46.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.398  factory0.62   50 Day Low $ 41.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.711  factory0.627   50 Day Low $ 42.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975  factory0.95   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 35.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.834  factory0.907   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 37.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.769  factory0.596   50 Day Low $ 44.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 March 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.914  factory0.684   50 Day Low $ 41.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 February 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.857  factory0.635   50 Day Low $ 43.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.793  factory0.664   50 Day Low $ 29.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: MCRI) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.