Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to LULU's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.42%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 3.045.   Maximum drawdown: -36.83% on 05 August 2024.
Mean CAGR: 236.08%. Time in market: 455 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1993.32 on 09 December 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Lululemon Athletica

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 11 signal(s) occurring before 06 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.42%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.42%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Lululemon Athletica Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026   HIGH   smart_toy0.833   Super Oversold (MD) $ 122.77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.821   Super Oversold (52) $ 125.69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.738   Super Oversold (52) $ 131.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.738   Super Oversold (26) $ 131.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.688   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 145.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
08 September 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.924   Super Oversold (52) $ 167.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 September 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.867   Super Oversold (52) $ 166.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 August 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.809   Super Oversold (MD) $ 196.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
31 July 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.856   Super Oversold (26) $ 202.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
29 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866   Super Oversold (MD) $ 215.02 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.886   Super Oversold (26) $ 226.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
20 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.867   Super Oversold (26) $ 229.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
06 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825   Super Oversold (MD) $ 268.22 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.857   Super Oversold (52) $ 230.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.888   Super Oversold (GD) $ 238.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 July 2024   HIGH     Super Oversold (26) $ 254.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.805   Super Oversold (52) $ 254.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 May 2024   MEDIUM     Super Oversold (26) $ 303.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.837   Super Oversold (MD) $ 303.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2024   LOW     Super Oversold (26) $ 325.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.839   Super Oversold (GD) $ 325.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.767   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 330.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.723   Super Oversold (GD) $ 365.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
24 May 2022   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 261.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.984   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 261.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022   HIGH     FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 269.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.987   Super Oversold (MD) $ 269.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.938   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 289.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.89   Super Oversold (26) $ 331.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.972   Super Oversold (GD) $ 303.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.989   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 147.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 December 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.957   Super Oversold (GD) $ 114.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.782   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 60.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Lululemon Athletica Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: LULU) was last updated 14 May 2026 00:22. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 13 May 2026.