Lululemon Athletica Inc (LULU) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to LULU's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.71%.   Win rate: 82.61%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.738.   Maximum drawdown: -64.63% on 15 September 2025.
Mean CAGR: 176.24%. Time in market: 3390 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1199.11 on 17 February 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Lululemon Athletica

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 23 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (82.61% * 10.47%) + (8.70% * 3.52%) - (8.70% * 60.39%) = 3.71%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Lululemon Athletica Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.718  factory0.397   50 Day Low $ 142.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.542  factory0.411   50 Day Low $ 170.95 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 September 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.867  factory0.913   50 Day Low $ 166.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.599  factory0.639   50 Day Low $ 225.69 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.9  factory0.615   50 Day Low $ 249.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 March 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.79  factory0.727   50 Day Low $ 297.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
21 February 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.861  factory0.693   50 Day Low $ 362.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.932  factory0.774   50 Day Low $ 291.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.767  factory0.692   50 Day Low $ 330.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 March 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.752  factory0.562   50 Day Low $ 409.72 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 February 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.888  factory0.781   50 Day Low $ 453.36 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.906  factory0.801   50 Day Low $ 363.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.817  factory0.742   50 Day Low $ 363.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.662  factory0.794   50 Day Low $ 293.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.637  factory0.786   50 Day Low $ 295.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.981  factory0.813   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 282.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.987  factory0.807   50 Day Low $ 284.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.712  factory0.663   50 Day Low $ 302.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.879  factory0.475   50 Day Low $ 328.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.773  factory0.598   50 Day Low $ 384.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.882  factory0.525   50 Day Low $ 304.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.857  factory0.471   50 Day Low $ 327.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 September 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.972  factory0.78   50 Day Low $ 303.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.674  factory0.857   50 Day Low $ 213.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.825  factory0.927   50 Day Low $ 112.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.987  factory0.863   50 Day Low $ 130.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.927  factory0.459   50 Day Low $ 57.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.823  factory0.525   50 Day Low $ 49.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.529  factory0.476   50 Day Low $ 63.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.956  factory0.725   50 Day Low $ 58.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.917  factory0.528   50 Day Low $ 68.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Lululemon Athletica Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: LULU) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 29 May 2026.