LKQ Corp (LKQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to LKQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.78%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 5.198.   Maximum drawdown: -30.63% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 188.67%. Time in market: 626 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1646.49 on 23 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for LKQ Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.78%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.78%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

LKQ Corp Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.845   Super Oversold (52) $ 25.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.628   Super Oversold (52) $ 29.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8   Super Oversold (MD) $ 29.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
31 July 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.888   Super Oversold (26) $ 29.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
30 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.89   Super Oversold (52) $ 30.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
22 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.749   Super Oversold (52) $ 38.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.748   Super Oversold (26) $ 38.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box schedule
12 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.769   Super Oversold (26) $ 38.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.852   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 40.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
27 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.893   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 43.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.893   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 44.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
24 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.862   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 47.36 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.817   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 48.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
08 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   Super Oversold (MD) $ 42.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 42.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.966   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 45.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.991   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 17.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.986   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 21.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.975   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 23.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.984   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 24.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.922   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 26.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.598   Super Oversold (26) $ 28.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.569   Super Oversold (26) $ 28.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for LKQ Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: LKQ) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 15 May 2026.