LKQ Corp (LKQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to LKQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 1.01%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.01.   Maximum drawdown: -59.87% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 61.65%. Time in market: 5947 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $595.65 on 24 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for LKQ Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.31%) + (8.33% * 3.98%) - (16.67% * 33.33%) = 1.01%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

LKQ Corp Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.584  factory0.492   50 Day Low $ 28.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.884  factory0.428   50 Day Low $ 30.07 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.795  factory0.712   50 Day Low $ 28.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.628  factory0.894   50 Day Low $ 29.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 July 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.751  factory0.513   50 Day Low $ 32.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
18 June 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.876  factory0.575   50 Day Low $ 37.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 April 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.973  factory0.79   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 37.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.815  factory0.647   50 Day Low $ 36.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
08 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.733  factory0.623   50 Day Low $ 38.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
25 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.532  factory0.618   50 Day Low $ 39.73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
29 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.537  factory0.327   50 Day Low $ 42.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
23 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.612  factory0.473   50 Day Low $ 43.90 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895  factory0.885   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 47.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.735  factory0.769   50 Day Low $ 49.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.799  factory0.572   50 Day Low $ 52.43 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.904  factory0.878   50 Day Low $ 52.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 March 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.797  factory0.889   50 Day Low $ 53.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.643  factory0.903   50 Day Low $ 49.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.921  factory0.66   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 46.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.827  factory0.593   50 Day Low $ 54.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.529  factory0.727   50 Day Low $ 26.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.756  factory0.637   50 Day Low $ 32.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 January 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.768  factory0.671   50 Day Low $ 34.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 July 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.656  factory0.653   50 Day Low $ 25.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.775  factory0.721   50 Day Low $ 26.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.665  factory0.905   50 Day Low $ 25.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.681  factory0.887   50 Day Low $ 27.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 September 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.805  factory0.656   50 Day Low $ 32.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.703  factory0.615   50 Day Low $ 37.48 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 March 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.822  factory0.616   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 39.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
14 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.764  factory0.45   50 Day Low $ 29.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.78  factory0.548   50 Day Low $ 30.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.945  factory0.731   50 Day Low $ 30.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.538  factory0.772   50 Day Low $ 33.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.884  factory0.819   50 Day Low $ 30.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for LKQ Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: LKQ) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.