Sanfilippo (John B.) & Son Inc (JBSS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to JBSS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.93%.   Win rate: 80.77%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.019.   Maximum drawdown: -44.67% on 07 May 2025.
Mean CAGR: 87.11%. Time in market: 4836 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1080.62 on 13 April 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Sanfilippo

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.77% * 8.75%) + (11.54% * 0.77%) - (7.69% * 28.97%) = 4.93%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Sanfilippo Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
14 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.686  factory0.532   50 Day Low $ 75.23 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 October 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.755  factory0.656   50 Day Low $ 61.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.981  factory0.755   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 60.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.953  factory0.727   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 68.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 January 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.891  factory0.703   50 Day Low $ 79.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 October 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605  factory0.648   50 Day Low $ 86.97 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.644  factory0.593   50 Day Low $ 91.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.715  factory0.51   50 Day Low $ 96.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
12 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.594  factory0.379   50 Day Low $ 98.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 February 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.606  factory0.649   50 Day Low $ 98.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 November 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.846  factory0.827   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 93.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
21 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.691  factory0.709   50 Day Low $ 98.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 August 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.734  factory0.624   50 Day Low $ 107.56 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 January 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.733  factory0.72   50 Day Low $ 79.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.924  factory0.851   50 Day Low $ 72.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833  factory0.791   50 Day Low $ 78.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.774  factory0.661   50 Day Low $ 80.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.804  factory0.589   50 Day Low $ 85.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 June 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.893  factory0.656   50 Day Low $ 87.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 September 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.763  factory0.664   50 Day Low $ 79.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.992  factory0.877   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 68.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.828  factory0.644   50 Day Low $ 80.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 January 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.773  factory0.68   50 Day Low $ 89.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.949  factory0.942   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 54.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.882  factory0.915   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 60.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.283  factory0.702   50 Day Low $ 67.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.74  factory0.755   50 Day Low $ 67.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 April 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.523  factory0.474   50 Day Low $ 54.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 February 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.697  factory0.562   50 Day Low $ 54.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.753  factory0.6   50 Day Low $ 58.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
20 June 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.764  factory0.657   50 Day Low $ 57.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 May 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.761  factory0.731   50 Day Low $ 59.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 February 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.744  factory0.515   50 Day Low $ 60.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.726  factory0.625   50 Day Low $ 38.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Sanfilippo (John B.) & Son Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: JBSS) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 29 May 2026.